Weather Center

Current alerts

A severe thunderstorm warning in Kansas. 24 warnings are in effect in eight states and territories. 1 severe thunderstorm warning 11 flash flood warnings 1 winter storm warning 3 high wind warnings 2 river flood warnings 3 areal flood warnings 2 coastal flood warnings 1 high surf warning 8 states and territories (distinct warnings nationwide)

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NWS alerts checked 02:43Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 00:28Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 29 Oct 17:29Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 29 Oct 19:27Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 02:43Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 02:40Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook issued 01:29Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 29 Oct 20:08Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook issued 29 Oct 20:08Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / WPC selected forecast: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 02:43Z.

WPC selected forecast: Feed current; checked 02:40Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

The address named a period no outlook is held for, so the current one is shown.

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook, Friday 30 Oct

Source: WPC

Forecast: WPC’s scale

1 · Marginal
2 · Slight highest

View scale

1 · Marginal
2 · Slight
3 · Moderate (not outlined)
4 · High (not outlined)

In force now

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1
Flash Flood Warning 9
Flood Warning 5
Coastal Flood Warning 2

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook, valid 01:29Z to 12:00Z, issued 01:29Z · Data: NOAA/WPC. Warnings and watches are as of 02:43Z (now), not for the outlook’s period.The map draws the conterminous states. Alaska, Hawaii and Northern Mariana Islands have warnings too: they are counted above and listed below.

Everything on the map, as a list

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook: Marginal and Slight
Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Marshall County, KS, until 03:15Z
Flash Flood Warning: Dona Ana County, NM, until 02:45Z
Flash Flood Warning: Luna County, NM, until 03:00Z
Flash Flood Warning: Cochise, Graham and Greenlee counties, AZ, until 03:00Z
Flash Flood Warning: El Paso County, TX, until 03:15Z
Flash Flood Warning: Luna County, NM, until 03:30Z
Flash Flood Warning: Dona Ana, Otero and Sierra counties, NM, until 03:45Z
Flash Flood Warning: Dona Ana, Luna and Sierra counties, NM, until 04:15Z
Flash Flood Warning: Dona Ana and Sierra counties, NM, until 05:00Z
Flash Flood Warning: Grant County, NM, until 05:00Z
Flood Warning: Barton County, KS, until 07:15Z
Flood Warning: Lake and Volusia counties, FL, until 16:00Z
Flood Warning: Socorro County, NM, until 18:00Z
Flood Warning: Socorro County, NM, until 18:00Z
Flood Warning: Lake and Volusia counties, FL, until 18:00Z
Coastal Flood Warning: Monroe Upper Keys; Monroe Middle Keys; Monroe Lower Keys, until 09:00Z
Coastal Flood Warning: Coastal Duval; Trout River; Inland Flagler; Eastern Clay; Eastern Putnam; South Central Duval; Western St. Johns, until 31 Oct 09:00Z

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Friday briefing

National maximum: Slight (2 of 4)

This is the outlook, a forecast. Warnings in force here are listed above it and outrank it.

WPC: “Scattered flash floods possible.” WPC’s definitions

Where

The slight area touches New Mexico and Texas; it covers parts of those states, not all of them.

When

Timing: not specified. WPC’s summary of this outlook is not held, and the outlook itself gives no hours.

Outlook valid 01:29Z to 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive.

Main hazards

Flash flooding: Slight, at least a 15% chance within 40 km (25 mi) of a point. Scattered flash floods possible.

Prepare

Know how your community sends warnings. NWS
There is no safe place outside when thunderstorms are in the area. … When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors. NWS
Do NOT drive into flooded roadways or around a barricade; Turn Around, Don't Drown! NWS

In the National Weather Service’s words, from weather.gov.

What changed

Slight area expanded by about a tenth.

How this was compared

This issuance: 01:29Z. Earlier issuance: 00:50Z. The same product, WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook, for the same day, ending 12:00Z; an outlook for another day is never compared with this one. WPC dates this day’s outlook from when each is issued, so this one runs from 01:29Z and the earlier one from 01:00Z. The whole outlook, measured in the map’s equal-area projection: an area is said to have grown or shrunk when it changes by a tenth and by 5,000 km², and to have moved when its centre moves 100 km.

Official discussion

WPC’s discussion held is for another period, so it is not shown with this map.

WPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

The chance that rainfall exceeds flash flood guidance within 40 km (25 miles) of a point during the valid period, as WPC defines its categories. Marginal is at least 5%, Slight 15%, Moderate 40% and High 70%. WPC’s categories are separate from SPC’s severe-storm categories, and an outlook category is not a warning: a Flash Flood Warning means flooding is happening or imminent. WPC’s definitions.

Coming days · National

2026-10-30Severe storms: Marginal (1 of 5)Flash flooding: Slight (2 of 4)2026-10-30Severe storms: Marginal (1 of 5)Flash flooding: Slight (2 of 4)2026-10-31Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: Slight (2 of 4)

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Severe storms

Marginal risk (1 of 5) at its highest nationally. SPC’s convective outlook, on its own scale.

View severe outlook

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 29 Oct – 12Z 30 Oct

5 tornado · 1 wind · 0 hail

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings nationwide

24 warnings in 8 states

24 distinct warnings in effect. The Live tracker lists every one with its full text; the most urgent are here too.

NWS alerts checked 02:43Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 01:44Z: no change in the warnings.

Storms 1

Severe thunderstorm 1

Flooding 18

Other weather 5

Most warnings by state

Every warning, most urgent first, in the Live tracker

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.