Weather Center: Texas

Current alerts

1 high wind warning, 3 flood warnings, 3 freeze warnings and 4 red flag warnings touch Texas. 1 high wind warning 3 river flood warnings 3 freeze warnings 4 red flag warnings (touching Texas)

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NWS alerts checked 04:00Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 00:50Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 16 Oct 17:24Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 16 Oct 19:22Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 04:00Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 04:00Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook issued 00:56Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 16 Oct 19:17Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook issued 16 Oct 19:17Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / SPC selected outlook: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 04:00Z.

SPC selected outlook: Feed current; checked 04:00Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

SPC Day 1 categorical outlook, Saturday 17 Oct

Source: SPC

Forecast: SPC’s scale

General Thunderstorms not severe

View scale

General Thunderstorms not severe
1 · Marginal Risk (not outlined)
2 · Slight Risk (not outlined)
3 · Enhanced Risk (not outlined)
4 · Moderate Risk (not outlined)
5 · High Risk (not outlined)

In force now

High Wind Warning 1
Flood Warning 3
Freeze Warning 3
Red Flag Warning 4

SPC Day 1 categorical outlook, valid 01:00Z to 12:00Z, issued 00:50Z · Data: NOAA/SPC. Warnings and watches are as of 04:00Z (now), not for the outlook’s period.

Everything on the map, as a list

SPC Day 1 categorical outlook: General Thunderstorms
High Wind Warning: Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County; Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet; Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, until 06:00Z
Flood Warning: Brewster County, TX, until 18 Oct 15:12Z
Flood Warning: Val Verde County, TX, until 19 Oct 06:00Z
Flood Warning: Wichita and Wilbarger counties, TX, until 20 Oct 09:00Z
Freeze Warning: Cimarron; Texas; Beaver; Dallam; Sherman; Hansford; Ochiltree; Lipscomb; Hartley; Moore; Hutchinson; Roberts; Hemphill; Oldham; Potter; Carson; Gray; Deaf Smith; Randall; Armstrong; Palo Duro Canyon, until 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Parmer; Castro; Swisher; Briscoe; Bailey; Lamb; Hale; Floyd; Cochran; Hockley; Lubbock; Crosby; Yoakum; Terry; Lynn, until 15:00Z
Freeze Warning: Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County; Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet; Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains; Northern Lea County; Central Lea County; Davis Mountains, until 15:00Z
Red Flag Warning: Vernon; Rapides; Avoyelles; Beauregard; Tyler; Northern Jasper; Northern Newton, until 06:00Z
Red Flag Warning: Lincoln; Union; Jackson; Ouachita; Natchitoches; Winn; Grant; Caldwell; La Salle; Sevier; Howard; Little River; Hempstead; Nevada; Miller; Lafayette; Columbia; Union; Caddo; Bossier; Webster; Claiborne; De Soto; Red River; Bienville; Sabine; McCurtain; Red River; Bowie; Franklin; Titus; Camp; Morris; Cass; Wood; Upshur; Marion; Smith; Gregg; Harrison; Cherokee; Rusk; Panola; Nacogdoches; Shelby; Angelina; San Augustine; Sabine, until 06:00Z
Red Flag Warning: Zapata; Jim Hogg; Brooks; Inland Kenedy; Starr; Southern Hidalgo; Inland Willacy; Inland Cameron; Northern Hidalgo, until 12:00Z
Red Flag Warning: Vernon; Rapides; Avoyelles; Beauregard; Tyler; Northern Jasper; Northern Newton; Allen; Evangeline; St. Landry; Lafayette; Upper St. Martin; Lower St. Martin; West Cameron; East Cameron; Northern Calcasieu; Northern Jefferson Davis; Northern Acadia; Upper Vermilion; Upper Iberia; Upper St. Mary; Southern Calcasieu; Southern Jefferson Davis; Southern Acadia; Lower Vermilion; Lower Iberia; Lower St. Mary; Hardin; Southern Jasper; Southern Newton; Upper Jefferson; Northern Orange; Lower Jefferson; Southern Orange, until 18 Oct 01:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: High Wind Warning: Upper Santa Cruz River and Altar Valleys including Nogales; Tucson Metro Area including Tucson/Green Valley/Marana/Vail; South Central Pinal County including Eloy/Picacho Peak State Park; Southeast Pinal County including Kearny/Mammoth/Oracle; Upper San Pedro River Valley including Sierra Vista/Benson; Eastern Cochise County Below 5000 Feet including Douglas/Willcox; Upper Gila River and Aravaipa Valleys including Clifton/Safford; Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains including Mount Graham; Chiricahua Mountains including Chiricahua National Monument; Dragoon/Mule/Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains including Bisbee/Canelo Hills/Madera Canyon; Santa Catalina and Rincon Mountains including Mount Lemmon/Summerhaven, until 12:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Flood Warning: Payne County, OK, until 07:34Z
Outside Texas, for context: Flood Warning: Jackson, Kiowa and Tillman counties, OK, until 18 Oct 20:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Flood Warning: Cleveland, McClain and Pottawatomie counties, OK, until 19 Oct 12:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Flood Warning: Cleveland and McClain counties, OK, until 20 Oct 05:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Flood Warning: Canadian, Cleveland, Grady and McClain counties, OK, until 20 Oct 06:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Freeze Warning: Trego; Ellis; Scott; Lane; Ness; Rush; Hamilton; Kearny; Finney; Hodgeman; Pawnee; Stafford; Stanton; Grant; Haskell; Gray; Ford; Edwards; Kiowa; Pratt; Morton; Stevens; Seward; Meade; Clark; Comanche; Barber, until 14:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Freeze Warning: Russell; Lincoln; Barton; Ellsworth; Saline; Rice; McPherson; Reno; Kingman, until 14:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Freeze Warning: Harper; Ellis, until 14:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Freeze Warning: Northwest Plateau; Espanola Valley; Santa Fe Metro Area; Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area; Lower Rio Grande Valley; Central Highlands; South Central Highlands; Upper Tularosa Valley; Far Northeast Highlands; Union County; Harding County; Eastern San Miguel County; Guadalupe County; Quay County; Curry County; Roosevelt County; De Baca County; Chaves County Plains; Eastern Lincoln County; Southwest Chaves County; San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands, until 15:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Freeze Warning: Lower Yampa River Basin; Central Yampa River Basin; Upper Yampa River Basin; Central Colorado River Basin; San Juan River Basin, until 15:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Freeze Warning: Yuma County; Kit Carson County; Cheyenne County; Cheyenne; Rawlins; Decatur; Norton; Sherman; Thomas; Sheridan; Graham; Wallace; Logan; Gove; Greeley; Wichita; Dundy; Hitchcock; Red Willow, until 15:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Freeze Warning: Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County; Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft; Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Ft; Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet; Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft; Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft; Crowley County; La Junta Vicinity/Otero County; Eastern Las Animas County; Western Kiowa County; Eastern Kiowa County; Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County; Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County; Springfield Vicinity/Baca County, until 15:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Red Flag Warning: Ashley; Chicot; Morehouse; West Carroll; East Carroll; Richland; Madison; Franklin; Catahoula; Tensas; Concordia; Bolivar; Sunflower; Leflore; Grenada; Carroll; Montgomery; Webster; Clay; Lowndes; Choctaw; Oktibbeha; Washington; Humphreys; Holmes; Attala; Winston; Noxubee; Issaquena; Sharkey; Yazoo; Madison; Leake; Neshoba; Kemper; Warren; Hinds; Rankin; Scott; Newton; Lauderdale; Claiborne; Copiah; Simpson; Smith; Jasper; Clarke; Jefferson; Adams; Franklin; Lincoln; Lawrence; Jefferson Davis; Covington; Jones; Marion; Lamar; Forrest, until 18 Oct 00:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Red Flag Warning: Wayne; Perry; Greene; Stone; George, until 18 Oct 00:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Red Flag Warning: Lincoln; Union; Jackson; Ouachita; Natchitoches; Winn; Grant; Caldwell; La Salle, until 18 Oct 00:00Z
Outside Texas, for context: Red Flag Warning: Pointe Coupee; West Feliciana; East Feliciana; St. Helena; Washington; Iberville; West Baton Rouge; East Baton Rouge; Assumption; St. James; Northern Tangipahoa; Southeast St. Tammany; Northern St. Tammany; Southwestern St. Tammany; Central Tangipahoa; Lower Tangipahoa; Northern Livingston; Southern Livingston; Western Ascension; Eastern Ascension; Wilkinson; Amite; Pike; Walthall; Pearl River; Hancock; Harrison; Jackson, until 18 Oct 01:00Z

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Saturday briefing for Texas

Highest anywhere in Texas: no risk area

This is the outlook, a forecast. Warnings in force here are listed above it and outrank it.

The highest category anywhere in the state, from its outline; not every point in it.

When: Outlook valid 01:00Z to 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive.
Prepare: A warning is in force here: follow its instructions in Current alerts first.
What changed: No outlined area reaches Texas now; the earlier issuance’s highest there was General Thunderstorms.
How this was compared
This issuance: 00:50Z. Earlier issuance: 16 Oct 19:56Z. The same product, SPC Day 1 categorical outlook, for the same day, ending 12:00Z; an outlook for another day is never compared with this one. SPC dates this day’s outlook from when each is issued, so this one runs from 01:00Z and the earlier one from 16 Oct 20:00Z. Each issuance is read as the highest category whose area shares ground with Texas’s outline; the rest of the country is not compared.

Official discussion

SPC’s discussion covers the whole country, not Texas alone.

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook narrative, issued 00:51Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

000
ACUS01 KWNS 170051
SWODY1
SPC AC 170050

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Valid 170100Z - 171200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential appears low through the remainder of
tonight.

...01Z Update...
Convection associated with a strong cold front has generally
weakened or moved offshore of the Mid-Atlantic and southern New
England this evening. Sporadic thunderstorm activity could persist
through the remainder of the evening across these areas, though the
generally post-frontal nature of the remaining convection should
limit severe potential. Otherwise, ongoing storms across the FL
Peninsula should generally weaken through the evening, though some
storm potential may persist overnight across the FL Keys and
near-coastal areas.

..Dean.. 10/17/2026

$$

SPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

SPC’s categorical outlook rates the coverage and intensity of organized severe storms on five levels, from Marginal (1) to High (5); “Thunderstorms” outlines a 10% or greater chance of thunderstorms and is not a severe category. Each probability is the chance of that hazard within 25 miles of a point during the valid period. An intensity overlay marks where significant severe hazards are more likely should storms occur. An outlook is a forecast; a warning means a storm is happening or imminent. SPC’s definitions.

Coming days · Texas

2026-10-17Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-10-17Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-10-18Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Flash-flood risk

WPC outlines no excessive rainfall area at this scope. WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook: a separate forecast with its own scale.

View flash-flood risk

River flooding

3 gauges in flood in Texas, observed or forecast.

Moderate flooding Rio Grande at Foster Ranch, TX (forecast)
Minor flooding Red River at Burkburnett, TX (forecast)
Minor flooding Beaver Creek (TX) at Electra, TX (forecast)

A gauge measures its river at that spot; it does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood floods. Flash flooding is in the warnings.

Gauges in the Live tracker

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 16 Oct – 12Z 17 Oct

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail in Texas

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions in Texas. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings in Texas

11 warnings touching Texas

11 warnings touch Texas, most urgent first. A warning across a state line is counted here and in the other state.

NWS alerts checked 04:00Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 03:01Z: no change in the warnings.

Warnings 11

High wind Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County; Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet; Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains until 06:00Z crosses New Mexico and Texas Track: High Wind Warning, Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County; Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet; Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains
Flood Brewster County, TX until 18 Oct 15:12Z Track: Flood Warning, Brewster County, TX
Flood Val Verde County, TX until 19 Oct 06:00Z Track: Flood Warning, Val Verde County, TX
Flood Wichita and Wilbarger counties, TX until 20 Oct 09:00Z Track: Flood Warning, Wichita and Wilbarger counties, TX
Freeze Cimarron; Texas; Beaver; Dallam; Sherman; Hansford; Ochiltree; Lipscomb; Hartley; Moore; Hutchinson; Roberts; Hemphill; Oldham; Potter; Carson; Gray; Deaf Smith; Randall; Armstrong; Palo Duro Canyon until 14:00Z crosses Oklahoma and Texas Track: Freeze Warning, Cimarron; Texas; Beaver; Dallam; Sherman; Hansford; Ochiltree; Lipscomb; Hartley; Moore; Hutchinson; Roberts; Hemphill; Oldham; Potter; Carson; Gray; Deaf Smith; Randall; Armstrong; Palo Duro Canyon

All 11 warnings touching Texas, with their full text, in the Live tracker

47 warnings elsewhere in the country: the national list. Track Texas live

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

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