STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace

Tropical Depression EP222026

30 kt · 35 mph · 1005 hPa

Storm Mode · NHC Best track · 12:00Z

Latest published best-track state

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NHC forecast for Tropical Depression EP222026, Best track; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Best track

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The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

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Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

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Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Newport, NC (MHX), 12Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Newport, NC (MHX), for 12:00Z (5 h 7 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (59)

Newport, NC (MHX): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
1019 mb	11 m	11.0	8.6	335° 3 kt
1000 mb	166 m	12.6	7.6	005° 22 kt
990 mb	251 m	13.8	8.8	—
974 mb	388 m	13.2	7.2	—
950 mb	597 m	11.2	6.9	—
925 mb	820 m	13.0	-7.0	025° 19 kt
915 mb	914 m	13.7	-13.8	015° 20 kt
903 mb	1022 m	14.4	-21.6	—
887 mb	1172 m	13.6	-11.4	—
872 mb	1315 m	13.2	-15.8	—
851 mb	1524 m	11.6	-14.4	005° 16 kt
850 mb	1529 m	11.6	-14.4	000° 15 kt
834 mb	1687 m	10.6	-15.4	—
820 mb	1829 m	10.7	-17.5	355° 12 kt
804 mb	1992 m	10.8	-22.2	—
790 mb	2134 m	9.9	-22.3	005° 14 kt
769 mb	2361 m	8.6	-22.4	—
735 mb	2732 m	5.6	-19.4	—
707 mb	3048 m	3.9	-29.5	000° 10 kt
700 mb	3129 m	3.4	-31.6	350° 10 kt
689 mb	3257 m	3.2	-28.8	—
677 mb	3399 m	3.2	-42.8	—
656 mb	3658 m	2.7	-46.0	000° 10 kt
631 mb	3962 m	1.1	-39.6	330° 6 kt
617 mb	4147 m	0.0	-35.0	—
592 mb	4477 m	-2.5	-51.5	—
563 mb	4877 m	-5.5	-53.1	300° 5 kt
549 mb	5070 m	-6.9	-53.9	—
520 mb	5486 m	-10.6	-48.8	000° 3 kt
500 mb	5790 m	-13.1	-52.1	005° 2 kt
480 mb	6096 m	-15.6	-50.8	145° 1 kt
461 mb	6401 m	-18.0	-49.4	260° 4 kt
442 mb	6706 m	-20.6	-47.0	270° 6 kt
413 mb	7209 m	-24.7	-42.7	—
400 mb	7440 m	-26.3	-45.3	325° 5 kt
387 mb	7678 m	-28.1	-48.1	—
374 mb	7925 m	-30.3	-45.2	265° 7 kt
358 mb	8230 m	-33.1	-41.5	250° 6 kt
343 mb	8530 m	-35.5	-45.5	—
328 mb	8839 m	-37.7	-48.4	200° 1 kt
314 mb	9144 m	-39.8	-49.9	015° 4 kt
300 mb	9449 m	-39.3	-50.3	305° 1 kt
300 mb	9450 m	-39.3	-50.3	305° 3 kt
287 mb	9754 m	-38.0	-50.9	260° 17 kt
275 mb	10058 m	-38.6	-52.6	280° 10 kt
263 mb	10363 m	-39.3	-54.4	295° 8 kt
251 mb	10668 m	-40.0	-56.0	255° 14 kt
250 mb	10700 m	-40.1	-56.1	270° 18 kt
229 mb	11299 m	-41.5	-59.5	—
210 mb	11887 m	-44.7	-64.0	300° 20 kt
200 mb	12210 m	-46.5	-66.5	290° 19 kt
174 mb	13106 m	-51.9	-74.2	310° 21 kt
159 mb	13716 m	-55.7	-79.4	310° 18 kt
150 mb	14070 m	-58.3	-82.3	300° 23 kt
137 mb	14630 m	-61.1	-86.0	305° 16 kt
124 mb	15240 m	-63.7	-89.7	310° 22 kt
112 mb	15850 m	-65.6	-90.7	305° 14 kt
102 mb	16459 m	-68.9	-92.9	355° 13 kt
100 mb	16560 m	-69.1	-93.1	295° 10 kt

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 17:00Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Storm details

NHC Best track · 12:00Z

Center position: 9.5°N, 99.0°W
Minimum pressure: 1005 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 30 kt · 35 mph
Movement: Not reported
Since comparison advisory: Comparison unavailable

Read official track data ↗Official discussion ↗

Forecast cycle 12:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Watched places

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Advisory comparison

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Data coverage

NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

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Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsNo coastal alerts issued in this advisory Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Current warnings in the monitoring area

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

No U.S. area

No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.

Official forecast table

Forecast points

NHC Best track · advisory 12:00Z · forecast cycle 12:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
12:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	9.5°N, 99.0°W	tropical depression	30 kt · 35 mph
15:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	9.5°N, 99.3°W	tropical depression	30 kt · 35 mph
22 Oct 00:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	9.4°N, 100.1°W	tropical storm	40 kt · 46 mph
22 Oct 12:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	9.7°N, 101.1°W	tropical storm	55 kt · 63 mph
23 Oct 00:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	10.2°N, 102.0°W	hurricane	70 kt · 81 mph
23 Oct 12:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	10.7°N, 102.6°W	hurricane	85 kt · 98 mph
24 Oct 00:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	11.5°N, 103.2°W	hurricane	100 kt · 115 mph
24 Oct 12:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	12.5°N, 103.6°W	hurricane	95 kt · 109 mph
25 Oct 12:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	14.2°N, 104.4°W	hurricane	90 kt · 104 mph
26 Oct 12:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	15.4°N, 105.2°W	hurricane	85 kt · 98 mph

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
NHC Unnumbered state · 12:00Z	first	Snapshot f2228f08 · Selected

Monitoring geography and current changes

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: NHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

Chance of sustained wind of at least 34, 50 and 64 knots, by place
Place	34 kt	50 kt	64 kt
15n 105w	70%	40%	23%
10n 100w	49%	5%	—
Manzanillo	15%	—	—
L Cardenas	10%	—	—
Zihuatanejo	7%	—	—
10n 105w	6%	—	—
15n 100w	5%	—	—
15n 110w	4%	—	—
Barra Navidad	4%	—	—
Acapulco	3%	—	—

NHC’s chance of sustained wind of at least each speed at each place it lists, through 26 Oct 12:00Z; the places with the highest chance of 34 kt first. Issued 15:00Z. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s table.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

NHC has no coastal watch or warning in effect for this storm.

In NHC’s words, Best track, issued 12:00Z. The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-East at 24° from the storm's meridian.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Depression EP222026, NHC Best track

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Sources

NHC best track, as published checked 17:07Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

NWS coverage unavailableTropical Depression EP222026 · — alerts

No supported NWS monitoring area. Check local warning authorities.

Not checked

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.