STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace

Tropical Depression EP222026

30 kt · 35 mph · 1005 hPa

Storm Mode · NHC Best track · 12:00Z

Latest published best-track state

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NHC forecast for Tropical Depression EP222026, Best track; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Best track

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The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

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Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Wilmington, OH (ILN), 12Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Wilmington, OH (ILN), for 12:00Z (5 h 8 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (61)

Wilmington, OH (ILN): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
987 mb	317 m	4.2	4.2	060° 2 kt
977 mb	403 m	9.4	5.2	120° 6 kt
966 mb	499 m	15.2	6.2	—
936 mb	770 m	13.3	3.8	070° 2 kt
925 mb	871 m	12.4	3.4	050° 2 kt
912 mb	990 m	11.6	3.6	—
902 mb	1082 m	11.3	1.2	005° 5 kt
869 mb	1393 m	10.9	-5.3	350° 7 kt
859 mb	1489 m	10.8	-7.2	—
850 mb	1577 m	10.2	-4.8	005° 10 kt
834 mb	1734 m	8.9	-4.9	350° 11 kt
824 mb	1834 m	8.2	-5.0	345° 9 kt
803 mb	2046 m	6.8	-6.7	000° 12 kt
781 mb	2273 m	5.3	-8.6	010° 14 kt
766 mb	2432 m	5.0	-14.0	—
751 mb	2592 m	4.6	-19.6	040° 5 kt
722 mb	2911 m	2.3	-18.6	080° 7 kt
712 mb	3024 m	1.3	-18.7	085° 5 kt
700 mb	3160 m	0.2	-19.8	095° 7 kt
686 mb	3322 m	-1.1	-20.1	—
674 mb	3463 m	-1.3	-22.3	085° 6 kt
645 mb	3813 m	-1.7	-29.7	—
633 mb	3963 m	-1.5	-27.5	—
622 mb	4102 m	-2.7	-24.1	315° 5 kt
605 mb	4322 m	-4.4	-24.3	000° 2 kt
571 mb	4776 m	-6.5	-33.5	—
556 mb	4982 m	-8.0	-32.2	345° 11 kt
541 mb	5194 m	-9.6	-30.9	355° 12 kt
520 mb	5500 m	-11.9	-28.9	—
504 mb	5739 m	-13.5	-29.7	330° 9 kt
500 mb	5800 m	-13.9	-29.9	335° 7 kt
485 mb	6029 m	-16.0	-31.0	320° 5 kt
472 mb	6231 m	-17.5	-32.9	315° 7 kt
458 mb	6455 m	-19.2	-35.1	330° 5 kt
447 mb	6634 m	-20.6	-33.1	305° 6 kt
437 mb	6800 m	-21.9	-30.9	—
404 mb	7368 m	-26.7	-34.9	245° 2 kt
400 mb	7440 m	-27.3	-35.3	195° 4 kt
383 mb	7751 m	-28.6	-40.9	260° 6 kt
372 mb	7959 m	-29.5	-44.7	270° 8 kt
351 mb	8373 m	-31.6	-50.2	305° 15 kt
333 mb	8742 m	-34.0	-51.5	290° 17 kt
320 mb	9021 m	-35.7	-52.4	295° 21 kt
309 mb	9266 m	-37.3	-53.3	—
300 mb	9470 m	-38.3	-54.3	300° 17 kt
279 mb	9968 m	-38.8	-56.2	305° 14 kt
268 mb	10245 m	-39.1	-57.1	—
251 mb	10693 m	-40.6	-58.6	330° 26 kt
250 mb	10720 m	-40.7	-58.7	325° 25 kt
228 mb	11344 m	-43.3	-61.3	325° 24 kt
216 mb	11707 m	-45.0	-63.0	325° 22 kt
206 mb	12023 m	-46.3	-63.5	310° 26 kt
200 mb	12220 m	-47.1	-64.1	320° 26 kt
186 mb	12692 m	-50.1	-66.6	315° 23 kt
165 mb	13465 m	-54.8	-70.2	310° 27 kt
152 mb	13986 m	-57.6	-71.8	325° 31 kt
150 mb	14070 m	-58.1	-72.1	325° 31 kt
138 mb	14592 m	-60.9	-74.0	315° 31 kt
114 mb	15761 m	-65.2	-77.6	320° 25 kt
103 mb	16381 m	-67.5	-79.5	330° 31 kt
100 mb	16560 m	-67.7	-78.7	325° 27 kt

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 17:00Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Storm details

NHC Best track · 12:00Z

Center position: 9.5°N, 99.0°W
Minimum pressure: 1005 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 30 kt · 35 mph
Movement: Not reported
Since comparison advisory: Comparison unavailable

Read official track data ↗Official discussion ↗

Forecast cycle 12:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Watched places

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Advisory comparison

Comparison unavailable: no different, earlier retained advisory was selected or published.

Data coverage

NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

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Cached lightning source details and text readings

Map layers, imagery opacity and source clocks

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Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsNo coastal alerts issued in this advisory Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Current warnings in the monitoring area

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

No U.S. area

No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.

Official forecast table

Forecast points

NHC Best track · advisory 12:00Z · forecast cycle 12:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
12:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	9.5°N, 99.0°W	tropical depression	30 kt · 35 mph
15:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	9.5°N, 99.3°W	tropical depression	30 kt · 35 mph
22 Oct 00:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	9.4°N, 100.1°W	tropical storm	40 kt · 46 mph
22 Oct 12:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	9.7°N, 101.1°W	tropical storm	55 kt · 63 mph
23 Oct 00:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	10.2°N, 102.0°W	hurricane	70 kt · 81 mph
23 Oct 12:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	10.7°N, 102.6°W	hurricane	85 kt · 98 mph
24 Oct 00:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	11.5°N, 103.2°W	hurricane	100 kt · 115 mph
24 Oct 12:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	12.5°N, 103.6°W	hurricane	95 kt · 109 mph
25 Oct 12:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	14.2°N, 104.4°W	hurricane	90 kt · 104 mph
26 Oct 12:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	15.4°N, 105.2°W	hurricane	85 kt · 98 mph

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
NHC Unnumbered state · 12:00Z	first	Snapshot f2228f08 · Selected

Monitoring geography and current changes

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: NHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

Chance of sustained wind of at least 34, 50 and 64 knots, by place
Place	34 kt	50 kt	64 kt
15n 105w	70%	40%	23%
10n 100w	49%	5%	—
Manzanillo	15%	—	—
L Cardenas	10%	—	—
Zihuatanejo	7%	—	—
10n 105w	6%	—	—
15n 100w	5%	—	—
15n 110w	4%	—	—
Barra Navidad	4%	—	—
Acapulco	3%	—	—

NHC’s chance of sustained wind of at least each speed at each place it lists, through 26 Oct 12:00Z; the places with the highest chance of 34 kt first. Issued 15:00Z. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s table.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

NHC has no coastal watch or warning in effect for this storm.

In NHC’s words, Best track, issued 12:00Z. The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-East at 24° from the storm's meridian.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Depression EP222026, NHC Best track

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Sources

NHC best track, as published checked 17:07Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

NWS coverage unavailableTropical Depression EP222026 · — alerts

No supported NWS monitoring area. Check local warning authorities.

Not checked

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.