75 kt · 86 mph · 982 hPa · NNW at 4 kt
Storm Mode · NHC Best track ·
Latest published best-track state
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.
Forecast positions are estimates, not observations.
Choose a watched place for exact-point results, bands and qualified timing. Each product carries its own issuance and coverage.
| Place | 34 kt | 50 kt | 64 kt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manzanillo | 86% | 36% | 10% |
| Barra Navidad | 73% | 22% | 5% |
| Islas Marias | 48% | 14% | 3% |
| P Vallarta | 38% | 4% | — |
| San Blas | 30% | — | — |
| L Cardenas | 16% | — | — |
| Mazatlan | 4% | — | — |
| 15n 105w | 3% | — | — |
| Zihuatanejo | 3% | — | — |
NHC’s chance of sustained wind of at least each speed at each place it lists, through ; the places with the highest chance of 34 kt first. Issued . Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s table.
Hurricane Warning
Tropical Storm Warning
Hurricane Watch
Tropical Storm Watch
In NHC’s words, Best track, issued . The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.
None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.
No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
NHC Best track · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+0 h from forecast cycle | 14.6°N, 102.4°W | hurricane | 75 kt · 86 mph |
+3 h from forecast cycle | 14.8°N, 102.5°W | hurricane | 75 kt · 86 mph |
+12 h from forecast cycle | 15.5°N, 103.1°W | hurricane | 75 kt · 86 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 16.9°N, 104.1°W | hurricane | 80 kt · 92 mph |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 18.5°N, 105.1°W | hurricane | 80 kt · 92 mph |
+48 h from forecast cycle | 19.7°N, 105.9°W | hurricane | 75 kt · 86 mph |
+60 h from forecast cycle | 20.5°N, 106.6°W | tropical storm | 60 kt · 69 mph |
+72 h from forecast cycle | 20.9°N, 107.1°W | tropical storm | 45 kt · 52 mph |
+96 h from forecast cycle | 21.5°N, 108.1°W | tropical depression | 30 kt · 35 mph |
+120 h from forecast cycle | 22.1°N, 109.3°W | low | 20 kt · 23 mph |
Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-East at 27° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
NHC best track, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.
