Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Spotlight: Forecast track
1 of 7Wind speed probabilities
| Place | 34 kt | 50 kt | 64 kt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manzanillo | 86% | 36% | 10% |
| Barra Navidad | 73% | 22% | 5% |
| Islas Marias | 48% | 14% | 3% |
| P Vallarta | 38% | 4% | — |
| San Blas | 30% | — | — |
| L Cardenas | 16% | — | — |
| Mazatlan | 4% | — | — |
| 15n 105w | 3% | — | — |
| Zihuatanejo | 3% | — | — |
NHC’s chance of sustained wind of at least each speed at each place it lists, through ; the places with the highest chance of 34 kt first. Issued . Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s table.
NHC’s coastal watches and warnings
Hurricane Warning
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes
Tropical Storm Warning
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Zihuatanejo
Hurricane Watch
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Punta San Telmo
Tropical Storm Watch
- The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas
In NHC’s words, Best track, issued . The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-East at 27° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.