Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Tropical Depression EP212026
Current advisory context · 30 kt · 35 mph · 1006 hPa
Storm Mode · NHC Best track ·
Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached
Replay uses retained source bytes. Recording begins with activation; missing history is not clear weather.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Replay coverage and interpretation
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Published advisory track · Best track
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.
MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic
Use Forecast above to pin an official issuance and valid point. The forecast table and advisory history remain available below.
Analysis and model context
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
Soundings: what weather balloons measured
A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
The levels this sounding was drawn from (55)
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1025 mb | 10 m | 21.2 | 4.2 | 030° 13 kt |
| 1000 mb | 218 m | 18.6 | 3.6 | 040° 12 kt |
| 990 mb | 305 m | 17.8 | 3.3 | 035° 13 kt |
| 955 mb | 610 m | 14.8 | 2.2 | 025° 16 kt |
| 925 mb | 878 m | 12.2 | 1.2 | 015° 18 kt |
| 888 mb | 1219 m | 9.2 | -0.3 | 015° 18 kt |
| 859 mb | 1492 m | 7.2 | -2.8 | — |
| 850 mb | 1579 m | 7.6 | -6.4 | 045° 20 kt |
| 831 mb | 1766 m | 10.2 | -38.8 | — |
| 806 mb | 2020 m | 12.0 | -37.0 | — |
| 795 mb | 2134 m | 11.8 | -37.2 | 075° 24 kt |
| 767 mb | 2438 m | 11.1 | -37.9 | 070° 20 kt |
| 749 mb | 2631 m | 10.4 | -38.6 | — |
| 739 mb | 2743 m | 10.5 | -38.4 | 050° 18 kt |
| 712 mb | 3048 m | 9.8 | -38.4 | 060° 18 kt |
| 700 mb | 3192 m | 9.6 | -39.4 | 065° 16 kt |
| 688 mb | 3335 m | 9.4 | -39.6 | — |
| 662 mb | 3658 m | 7.6 | -35.1 | 035° 11 kt |
| 637 mb | 3962 m | 5.9 | -30.8 | 035° 11 kt |
| 616 mb | 4242 m | 4.0 | -34.0 | — |
| 601 mb | 4441 m | 2.4 | -31.6 | — |
| 569 mb | 4877 m | -0.3 | -46.8 | 350° 9 kt |
| 548 mb | 5182 m | -2.5 | -50.9 | 325° 12 kt |
| 537 mb | 5341 m | -3.7 | -51.7 | — |
| 522 mb | 5564 m | -5.1 | -52.1 | — |
| 512 mb | 5715 m | -6.3 | -53.3 | — |
| 500 mb | 5900 m | -7.7 | -53.7 | 330° 16 kt |
| 487 mb | 6096 m | -9.1 | -53.6 | 325° 17 kt |
| 475 mb | 6297 m | -10.5 | -53.5 | — |
| 465 mb | 6460 m | -11.3 | -53.3 | — |
| 450 mb | 6706 m | -12.7 | -46.8 | 340° 14 kt |
| 433 mb | 7010 m | -14.6 | -35.5 | 305° 21 kt |
| 420 mb | 7234 m | -16.1 | -27.1 | — |
| 400 mb | 7600 m | -18.9 | -29.9 | 295° 18 kt |
| 367 mb | 8230 m | -24.5 | -30.7 | 275° 27 kt |
| 352 mb | 8534 m | -27.2 | -31.6 | 280° 29 kt |
| 337 mb | 8839 m | -30.0 | -33.3 | 290° 30 kt |
| 323 mb | 9144 m | -29.4 | -42.1 | 280° 31 kt |
| 310 mb | 9439 m | -30.7 | -67.7 | — |
| 300 mb | 9670 m | -32.3 | -68.3 | 295° 47 kt |
| 272 mb | 10363 m | -37.4 | -72.0 | 290° 51 kt |
| 261 mb | 10637 m | -39.5 | -73.5 | — |
| 250 mb | 10930 m | -41.9 | -71.9 | 290° 49 kt |
| 233 mb | 11403 m | -45.5 | -66.5 | — |
| 221 mb | 11755 m | -46.7 | -69.7 | — |
| 207 mb | 12192 m | -49.9 | -72.0 | 295° 56 kt |
| 200 mb | 12410 m | -51.5 | -72.5 | 300° 60 kt |
| 188 mb | 12802 m | -54.0 | -75.0 | 300° 59 kt |
| 171 mb | 13411 m | -57.9 | -78.9 | 300° 54 kt |
| 151 mb | 14189 m | -62.9 | -82.9 | — |
| 150 mb | 14230 m | -63.3 | -83.3 | 305° 56 kt |
| 131 mb | 15053 m | -67.3 | -87.3 | — |
| 121 mb | 15545 m | -69.4 | -88.1 | 310° 45 kt |
| 109 mb | 16154 m | -72.1 | -89.3 | 305° 24 kt |
| 100 mb | 16650 m | -73.7 | -89.7 | 290° 32 kt |
Every station with a sounding (76)
- Aberdeen, SD (ABR)
- ADN
- Albany, NY (ALB)
- Albuquerque, NM (ABQ)
- Amarillo, TX (AMA)
- Birmingham, AL (BMX)
- Bismarck, ND (BIS)
- Blacksburg, VA (RNK)
- Boise, ID (BOI)
- Brownsville, TX (BRO)
- Buffalo, NY (BUF)
- Cape Canaveral, FL (XMR)
- Caribou, ME (CAR)
- Chanhassen, MN (MPX)
- Charleston, SC (CHS)
- Chihuahua, Mexico (76225)
- Corpus Christi, TX (CRP)
- Davenport, IA (DVN)
- Del Rio, TX (DRT)
- Dodge City, KS (DDC)
- Elko, NV (LKN)
- Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ)
- Fort Worth, TX (FWD)
- Gaylord, MI (APX)
- Glasgow, MT (GGW)
- Grand Junction, CO (GJT)
- Gray, ME (GYX)
- GRB
- Great Falls, MT (TFX)
- Greensboro, NC (GSO)
- International Falls, MN (INL)
- Jackson, MS (JAN)
- Jacksonville, FL (JAX)
- Key West, FL (KEY)
- La Paz, Mexico (76405)
- Lake Charles, LA (LCH)
- Lamont, OK (LMN)
- Las Vegas, NV (VEF)
- Lincoln, IL (ILX)
- Little Rock, AR (LZK)
- Maniwaki, Quebec (WMW)
- Mazatlán, Mexico (76458)
- Medford, OR (MFR)
- Miami, FL (MFL)
- Midland, TX (MAF)
- Nashville, TN (BNA)
- Newport, NC (MHX)
- Norman, OK (OUN)
- North Platte, NE (LBF)
- Oakland, CA (OAK)
- OYU
- Peachtree City, GA (FFC)
- Pickle Lake, Ontario (WPL)
- Pittsburgh, PA (PIT)
- Quillayute, WA (UIL)
- Rapid City, SD (UNR)
- Reno, NV (REV)
- Riverton, WY (RIW)
- Salem, OR (SLE)
- Salt Lake City, UT (SLC)
- San Diego, CA (NKX)
- Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ)
- Shreveport, LA (SHV)
- Slidell, LA (LIX)
- Spokane, WA (OTX)
- Springfield, MO (SGF)
- Sterling, VA (IAD)
- Tampa Bay, FL (TBW)
- Topeka, KS (TOP)
- Upton, NY (OKX)
- Valley, NE (OAX)
- Vandenberg, CA (VBG)
- White Lake, MI (DTX)
- Wilmington, OH (ILN)
- Yarmouth, Nova Scotia (YQI)
- Zacatecas, Mexico (76526)
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Potential impacts and monitoring context
No supported U.S. monitoring areaCurrent warnings in the monitoring area
None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.
No U.S. area
No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
Official forecast table
Official forecast positions and intensity
NHC Best track · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+0 h from forecast cycle | 9.5°N, 96.1°W | tropical depression | 30 kt · 35 mph |
+3 h from forecast cycle | 9.8°N, 96.5°W | tropical depression | 30 kt · 35 mph |
+12 h from forecast cycle | 10.5°N, 97.6°W | tropical storm | 40 kt · 46 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 11.3°N, 99.3°W | tropical storm | 50 kt · 58 mph |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 12.0°N, 100.5°W | hurricane | 65 kt · 75 mph |
+48 h from forecast cycle | 12.8°N, 101.4°W | hurricane | 80 kt · 92 mph |
+60 h from forecast cycle | 13.7°N, 101.9°W | hurricane | 100 kt · 115 mph |
+72 h from forecast cycle | 14.5°N, 102.2°W | hurricane | 115 kt · 132 mph |
+96 h from forecast cycle | 16.5°N, 103.5°W | hurricane | 120 kt · 138 mph |
+120 h from forecast cycle | 18.6°N, 105.3°W | hurricane | 105 kt · 121 mph |
Advisory history and records
Retained advisory records
Return to latest advisoryEach entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
Monitoring geography and current changes
- Area
- None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state - Hazards
- —
- Window
- In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
- Made by
- NHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
All published products and source descriptions
Wind speed probabilities
NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.
NHC’s coastal watches and warnings
The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Best track (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
Sources
NHC best track, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.