Weather Center: Virginia

Current alerts

2 freeze warnings touch Virginia. 2 freeze warnings (touching Virginia)

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NWS alerts checked 04:57Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 00:50Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 16 Oct 17:24Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 16 Oct 19:22Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 04:57Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 04:55Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook issued 00:56Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 16 Oct 19:17Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook issued 16 Oct 19:17Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / WPC selected forecast: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 04:57Z.

WPC selected forecast: Feed current; checked 04:55Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

WPC rain forecast, 24 hours, Saturday 17 Oct

Source: WPC

Forecast: WPC’s rain, in inches

0.01 in or more
0.1 in or more
0.25 in or more
0.5 in or more
0.75 in or more highest in the state
1 in or more
1.25 in or more
1.5 in or more
1.75 in or more
2 in or more
2.5 in or more
3 in or more
4 in or more (not forecast)

In force now

Freeze Warning 2

WPC Day 1 rain forecast, the 24 hours 00:00Z to 18 Oct 00:00Z, issued 16 Oct 22:02Z · Data: NOAA/WPC. An amount of rain, or melted snow and ice, in inches: not a chance of flooding. Warnings and watches are as of 04:57Z (now), not for the forecast’s day.

Everything on the map, as a list

WPC rain forecast for Saturday 17 Oct: contours from 0.01 in to 3 in or more
Freeze Warning: Washington; Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Extreme Western Allegany; Central and Eastern Allegany; Northwest Harford; Western Garrett; Eastern Garrett; Augusta; Rockingham; Shenandoah; Frederick; Page; Warren; Clarke; Western Highland; Eastern Highland; Western Loudoun; Northern Virginia Blue Ridge; Central Virginia Blue Ridge; Hampshire; Morgan; Berkeley; Jefferson; Hardy; Western Grant; Eastern Grant; Western Mineral; Eastern Mineral; Western Pendleton; Eastern Pendleton, until 18 Oct 12:00Z
Freeze Warning: Greenup; Carter; Boyd; Lawrence; Perry; Morgan; Athens; Washington; Jackson; Vinton; Meigs; Gallia; Lawrence; Dickenson; Buchanan; Wayne; Cabell; Mason; Jackson; Wood; Pleasants; Tyler; Lincoln; Putnam; Kanawha; Roane; Wirt; Calhoun; Ritchie; Doddridge; Mingo; Logan; Boone; Clay; Braxton; Gilmer; Lewis; Harrison; Taylor; McDowell; Wyoming; Upshur; Barbour; Northwest Raleigh; Southeast Raleigh; Northwest Fayette; Southeast Fayette; Northwest Nicholas; Southeast Nicholas; Northwest Webster; Southeast Webster; Northwest Pocahontas; Southeast Pocahontas; Northwest Randolph; Southeast Randolph, until 18 Oct 13:00Z
Outside Virginia, for context: Freeze Warning: Lucas; Wood; Ottawa; Sandusky; Erie; Lorain; Cuyahoga; Geauga; Ashtabula Inland; Hancock; Seneca; Huron; Medina; Summit; Portage; Trumbull; Wyandot; Crawford; Richland; Ashland; Wayne; Stark; Mahoning; Marion; Morrow; Holmes; Knox; Southern Erie; Crawford, until 18 Oct 13:00Z
Outside Virginia, for context: Freeze Warning: Wayne; Fayette; Union; Franklin; Ripley; Dearborn; Ohio; Switzerland; Carroll; Gallatin; Boone; Kenton; Campbell; Owen; Grant; Pendleton; Bracken; Robertson; Mason; Lewis; Hardin; Mercer; Auglaize; Darke; Shelby; Logan; Union; Delaware; Miami; Champaign; Clark; Madison; Franklin; Licking; Preble; Montgomery; Greene; Fayette; Pickaway; Fairfield; Butler; Warren; Clinton; Ross; Hocking; Hamilton; Clermont; Brown; Highland; Adams; Pike; Scioto, until 18 Oct 13:00Z
Outside Virginia, for context: Freeze Warning: Tuscarawas; Carroll; Columbiana; Coshocton; Harrison; Jefferson; Muskingum; Guernsey; Belmont; Noble; Monroe; Mercer; Venango; Forest; Lawrence; Butler; Clarion; Jefferson; Beaver; Allegheny; Armstrong; Washington; Greene; Westmoreland; Westmoreland Ridges; Fayette; Fayette Ridges; Indiana; Higher Elevations of Indiana; Hancock; Brooke; Ohio; Marshall; Wetzel; Marion; Monongalia; Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston; Preston; Eastern Preston; Western Tucker; Eastern Tucker, until 18 Oct 13:00Z

Saturday expected rain for Virginia

WPC rain forecast · an amount, in inches

Most anywhere in Virginia: 0.75 in or more

WPC expects at least 0.75 in of rain, or melted snow and ice, in these 24 hours somewhere in the state. An amount, not a chance: a forecast amount at a point can be well off where thunderstorms form.

WPC outlines no flash-flood risk here for this day: a chance of rain beyond what the ground can take, which is a different product. Flash-flood risk

Where: The contours run from 0.01 in to 3 in or more, over the map.
When: 00:00Z to 18 Oct 00:00Z: WPC’s Day 1, 24 hours. Issued 16 Oct 22:02Z.

Forecast details

WPC’s quantitative precipitation forecast: how much rain, or the water in melted snow and ice, it expects to fall over 24 hours, drawn as contours of 0.01 inch and more. It is an amount, not a probability, and not a flood forecast: whether rain floods depends on how fast it falls and on the ground. WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook, in the Flash-flood risk view, is its chance of that. WPC’s rain forecasts.

Coming days · Virginia

2026-10-17Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-10-17Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-10-18Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Severe storms

General thunderstorms at its highest nationally. SPC’s convective outlook, on its own scale.

View severe outlook

River flooding

26 gauges in flood in Virginia, observed or forecast.

Major flooding James River (VA) at Jamestown/Scotland Ferry (IN MLLW), VA (forecast)
Major flooding Lynnhaven River at Lynnhaven Inlet (IN MLLW), VA (forecast)
Moderate flooding Atlantic Coast at Anheuser Busch Coastal Res. Center (MLLW), VA (forecast)

And 23 more gauges in flood.

A gauge measures its river at that spot; it does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood floods. Flash flooding is in the warnings.

Gauges in the Live tracker

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 16 Oct – 12Z 17 Oct

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail in Virginia

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions in Virginia. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings in Virginia

2 warnings touching Virginia

2 warnings touch Virginia, most urgent first. A warning across a state line is counted here and in the other state.

NWS alerts checked 04:57Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 03:58Z: no change in the warnings.

Warnings 2

Freeze Washington; Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Extreme Western Allegany; Central and Eastern Allegany; Northwest Harford; Western Garrett; Eastern Garrett; Augusta; Rockingham; Shenandoah; Frederick; Page; Warren; Clarke; Western Highland; Eastern Highland; Western Loudoun; Northern Virginia Blue Ridge; Central Virginia Blue Ridge; Hampshire; Morgan; Berkeley; Jefferson; Hardy; Western Grant; Eastern Grant; Western Mineral; Eastern Mineral; Western Pendleton; Eastern Pendleton until 18 Oct 12:00Z crosses Maryland, Virginia and West Virginia Track: Freeze Warning, Washington; Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Extreme Western Allegany; Central and Eastern Allegany; Northwest Harford; Western Garrett; Eastern Garrett; Augusta; Rockingham; Shenandoah; Frederick; Page; Warren; Clarke; Western Highland; Eastern Highland; Western Loudoun; Northern Virginia Blue Ridge; Central Virginia Blue Ridge; Hampshire; Morgan; Berkeley; Jefferson; Hardy; Western Grant; Eastern Grant; Western Mineral; Eastern Mineral; Western Pendleton; Eastern Pendleton
Freeze Greenup; Carter; Boyd; Lawrence; Perry; Morgan; Athens; Washington; Jackson; Vinton; Meigs; Gallia; Lawrence; Dickenson; Buchanan; Wayne; Cabell; Mason; Jackson; Wood; Pleasants; Tyler; Lincoln; Putnam; Kanawha; Roane; Wirt; Calhoun; Ritchie; Doddridge; Mingo; Logan; Boone; Clay; Braxton; Gilmer; Lewis; Harrison; Taylor; McDowell; Wyoming; Upshur; Barbour; Northwest Raleigh; Southeast Raleigh; Northwest Fayette; Southeast Fayette; Northwest Nicholas; Southeast Nicholas; Northwest Webster; Southeast Webster; Northwest Pocahontas; Southeast Pocahontas; Northwest Randolph; Southeast Randolph until 18 Oct 13:00Z crosses Kentucky, Ohio, Virginia and West Virginia Track: Freeze Warning, Greenup; Carter; Boyd; Lawrence; Perry; Morgan; Athens; Washington; Jackson; Vinton; Meigs; Gallia; Lawrence; Dickenson; Buchanan; Wayne; Cabell; Mason; Jackson; Wood; Pleasants; Tyler; Lincoln; Putnam; Kanawha; Roane; Wirt; Calhoun; Ritchie; Doddridge; Mingo; Logan; Boone; Clay; Braxton; Gilmer; Lewis; Harrison; Taylor; McDowell; Wyoming; Upshur; Barbour; Northwest Raleigh; Southeast Raleigh; Northwest Fayette; Southeast Fayette; Northwest Nicholas; Southeast Nicholas; Northwest Webster; Southeast Webster; Northwest Pocahontas; Southeast Pocahontas; Northwest Randolph; Southeast Randolph

All 2 warnings touching Virginia, with their full text, in the Live tracker

60 warnings elsewhere in the country: the national list. Track Virginia live

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

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