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Rain & rivers

Rain expected and rain that fell, and the gauges at action stage or above in Florida, each with NWS’s forecast. Flood warnings are the Live tracker’s.

Observed gauges / Forecast gauges / NWS warnings: feeds current

Observed gauges: Feed current; checked .

Forecast gauges: Feed current; checked .

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked .

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Moderate flooding

St. Johns River at Astor, FL

Gauge
River gauge · ASTF1 · NWS MLB
Observed
Observed 2.53 ft at : minor flooding
Forecast
Forecast issued · crest 3.3 ft at : moderate flooding
Stages
Action 2 ft · Flood (minor) 2.3 ft · Moderate 3 ft · Major 4 ft
Forecasts
Forecasts are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.

Forecast hydrograph

Forecast stage at Astor, in ftNWS forecast for Astor, issued 17 Oct 01:13Z: a crest of 3.3 ft at 20 Oct 18:00Z. Flood stage is 2.3 ft. Observed 2.53 ft at 17 Oct 01:30Z.1234518 Oct 00Z19 Oct 00Z20 Oct 00Z21 Oct 00Z22 Oct 00ZAction 2 ftFlood (minor) 2.3 ftModerate 3 ftMajor 4 ftNowObservedUTCft
NWS forecast, issued : the line is the forecast stage, each dot one of NWS’s points; the ringed dot is the latest observation, when one at action stage or above is held. Earlier observations are not held here, so no observed line is drawn. Moderate flooding at its worst, observed or forecast. Data: NOAA/NWPS.
The forecast points as a table
NWS forecast stage at Astor
TimeStage
2.5 ft
2.5 ft
2.6 ft
2.7 ft
2.8 ft
2.9 ft
3 ft
3 ft
3 ft
3.1 ft
3.1 ft
3.1 ft
3.2 ft
3.2 ft
3.3 ft
3.3 ft
3.3 ft
3.3 ft
3.3 ft
3.3 ft

What NWS lists at this gauge

  • 3 ft: Water approaches or may enter lowest homes on or near Wildhog Road and nearby canals. Flooding reaches the parking lot of the Juno Trail Apartments. Flooding on portions of Alligator Road and Holiday Road. Lowest lying yards along Blue Creek are flooded. Roads at Astor Landing Campground and Lake Dexter Boat Ramp begin to flood. Water enters lower homes closest to the river on McPherson Lane.
  • 2.8 ft: Docks and boat ramps covered at South Moon Fish Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den. Water approaching sites closest to the river at Fish Tales RV Resort and Astor Landing Campground. Portion of Clair Street covered by river water south of the Butler Boat Ramp. Docks underwater at the Astor Bridge Marina and along Riveredge Drive. Portions of Fox Road are covered with water nearest to the river. Acorn, Hazelnut and Redbud roads are underwater with yards inundated.
  • 2.3 ft: Many docks become submerged along the river and in canals in the Astor community. Water enters yards of properties on Bartram Road, Holiday Circle and along Wild Hog Road on the Lake County side. In Volusia County, water encroaches yards of homes on the river side of Alice Drive. No wake zones are in effect from near the South Moon Canal to approximately 800 feet south of the Riverview lodge.
  • 2 ft: River levels rise and fills canals, encroaching on docks, yards and boat ramps in the vicinity of SR-40. Properties in low areas along and near the river and many canals should prepare for further water encroachment.

NWS’s statements for this gauge’s water at each stage, up to the highest observed or forecast. A gauge does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood near it floods. Read .

NWPS’s page for ASTF1 On the Live tracker’s map River flood warnings in Florida

Rain and rivers in Florida

  • Expected rain: 3 in or more at its highest in Florida, in WPC’s forecast for the 24 hours to . An amount for the area its contour covers, not a total for any one street.
  • Rain that fell: 4 to 6 in at its highest in Florida, in the 24 hours to , by MRMS’s radar estimate over a grid about 5 km across: a measurement of the past, not corrected to rain gauges.
  • Rivers: 3 gauges in flood in Florida, by NWS’s lists read . Major flooding Navarre Beach Gulf of America (In MHHW), FL. Observed 22.45 ft at : major flooding. No forecast at action stage or above. And 2 more. A gauge measures its river at that spot, not whether a road or a neighbourhood floods.

Three sources, each its own window. None is a chance of flash flooding, which is WPC’s outlook above; a flash flood is a warning’s. Gauges in the Live tracker

On the Briefing’s map

River, coastal and lake gauges in Florida

Three gauges in flood in Florida, observed or forecast. Choose one for its forecast hydrograph.

Major flooding 1

  1. Observed: major flooding Navarre Beach Gulf of America (In MHHW), FLObserved 22.45 ft at : major flooding

Moderate flooding 1

  1. Forecast: moderate flooding St. Johns River at Astor, FLObserved 2.53 ft at : minor floodingForecast issued · crest 3.3 ft at : moderate flooding

Minor flooding 1

  1. Observed: minor flooding Myakka River at Myakka River State Park, FLObserved 7.13 ft at : minor floodingForecast issued · highest 7.1 ft at · below flood stage (7 ft) by : minor flooding
Action stage, not flooding 20

Action stage is the level at which NWS and local officials begin to act; the water is not yet at flood stage.

  1. Observed: action stage Choctawhatchee River at Bruce-Ebro (SR 20), FLObserved 13.36 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 13.6 ft at : action stage
  2. Observed: action stage Choctawhatchee River at Caryville (US 90), FLObserved 11.78 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 11.5 ft at : action stage
  3. Observed: action stage Crescent Lake, FLObserved 1.29 ft at : action stage
  4. Observed: action stage Shoal River at Crestview, FLObserved 6.41 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 6.4 ft at : action stage
  5. Observed: action stage Rainbow River at Dunnellon, FLObserved 29.02 ft at : action stage
  6. Observed: action stage Dunns Creek State Park Boat Ramp (in MHHW), FLObserved 1.02 ft at : action stage
  7. Observed: action stage Fenholloway River at Foley, FLObserved 37.52 ft at : action stage
  8. Observed: action stage Georgetown (in NAVD88), FLObserved 1.63 ft at : action stage
  9. Observed: action stage Ochlockonee River at Havana (US 27), FLObserved 20.76 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 20.7 ft at : action stage
  10. Observed: action stage New River at Lake Butler (in NAVD88), FLObserved 89.64 ft at : action stage
  11. Observed: action stage St. Johns River at Lake Harney, FLObserved 6.78 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 6.9 ft at : action stage
  12. Observed: action stage Munson Slough, FLObserved 11.64 ft at : action stage
  13. Observed: action stage Withlacoochee River at Pinetta - CR 150 (in NAVD88), FLObserved 59.67 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 59.8 ft at : action stage
  14. Observed: action stage Ocklawaha River at Rodman Dam, FLObserved 4.18 ft at : action stage
  15. Forecast: action stage St. Johns River at Sanford, FLNot flooding now: observed below action stage (where officials start to act), or not reporting. Listed for its forecast.Forecast issued · highest 4.2 ft at : action stage
  16. Observed: action stage Shell Bluff Park (in NAVD88), FLObserved 1.3 ft at : action stage
  17. Observed: action stage Cypress Creek at SR 54 Worthington Gardens, FLObserved 7.32 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 7.3 ft at : action stage
  18. Observed: action stage St Johns River, FLObserved 1.11 ft at : action stage
  19. Observed: action stage Thomas Creek (in NAVD88), FLObserved 2.64 ft at : action stage
  20. Observed: action stage Santa Fe River at Worthington Springs (in NAVD88), FLObserved 56.56 ft at : action stageForecast issued · highest 56.5 ft at : action stage

A gauge measures its water at that one place. Flash flooding, which comes in hours from heavy rain, is in the warnings as Flash Flood Warnings; a river can be in flood with no rain falling.

Gauges observed checked · Data: NOAA/NWS

Gauges forecast checked · Data: NOAA/NWS

Gauge impacts and forecasts checked · Data: NOAA/NWPS

Florida flash-flood briefing

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.