South CarolinaSite status

Severe weather analysis

Observations and analyses of the atmosphere now, from NWS, WPC and SPC. Not a forecast and not a warning: for those, see the Briefing and the Live tracker.

SPC storm ingredients: feeds current

SPC storm ingredients: Feed current; checked .

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Storm ingredients: SPC’s hourly analysis

SPC mesoanalysis map, Effective bulk shear, East Central region, analysis for 04Z. Its key and units are in SPC’s picture; what it shows is described beside it.
Analysis SPC mesoanalysis for . The East Central region. Data: NOAA/SPC.

Shear: Effective bulk shear (kt)

How much the wind changes through the part of the atmosphere a storm draws on. More of it lets storms organise and last; with instability, it is what separates brief storms from long-lived ones.

The technical reading

The bulk wind difference across the lower half of the effective inflow layer’s storm depth, in knots, drawn only where an effective inflow layer exists. About 25–40 kt supports organised storms, 40 kt and more supercells.

An ingredient, not a forecast: SPC’s analysis of the hour, from observations and a short-range model’s first guess. No one value is a warning or an outcome; storms need several ingredients together, and something to start them.

SPC mesoanalysis checked · Data: NOAA/SPC

South Carolina briefing

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.