NWS Guide

12Z model run on time, 1 balloon reports flagged

12Z model run on time, 1 balloon reports flagged

Routine ADM

12Z model run on time, 1 balloon reports flagged

Issued (1504Z SUN SEP 27 2026) · by Churchill, on duty as SDM

Model status

NWS is producing the 12Z model run on schedule. Forecast model output should reach forecasters, apps and websites at the usual times.

“12Z” is the run’s start time in UTC. NWS runs its main models four times a day — 00Z, 06Z, 12Z and 18Z — and each run begins by digesting a global snapshot of current conditions taken at that hour.

104 weather balloon launches were available to feed this run (12 in Alaska, 24 in Canada, 37 in Lower 48, 13 in Mexico, 9 in Caribbean, 9 in Pacific). “Stations available for ingest” means balloon soundings that arrived in time to be folded into the model’s starting picture of the atmosphere. Twice a day, sites across North America release balloons that measure temperature, humidity, pressure and wind all the way up. More stations reporting means a better-anchored starting point for the GFS.

Balloon reports UPDATED 12Z RAOB RECAP...

Twice a day, NWS and partner agencies release weather balloons that carry a radiosonde — a small instrument package that radios back temperature, humidity, pressure and wind as it climbs. Those soundings are one of the main ingredients in a forecast model’s starting conditions. This section is the roll call of stations that had a problem for the 12Z run.

1 station was flagged: 1 sent no usable sounding at all, 1 reported a numeric status code. A handful of gaps is normal and is not by itself a sign of a forecast problem — the models are built to work with an incomplete picture.

Weather balloon stations flagged in this message
Station Where What happened As printed
UIL 72797 Quillayute, WA No weather balloon data from this station reached the model for this cycle — either no launch happened or the data did not arrive in time. unrecognised status code 10159 No report for NAM..10159 for GFS
Show the original message

Exactly as NWS transmitted it. Everything above is our plain-English reading of this text — if the two ever disagree, this is the authoritative version.

000
NOUS42 KWNO 271505
ADMSDM

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD
1504Z SUN SEP 27 2026

The 12Z NWS model production suite continues to run on time with
12 Alaskan..24 Canadian..37 CONUS..13 Mexican..9 Caribbean..and 9
Pacific stations available for ingest into the 12Z GFS. In
addition, there were 10 dropsondes courtesy of USAF Reserve
aircraft recon missions in the vicinity of Nolo in the Central
Pacific.

UPDATED 12Z RAOB RECAP...
72797/UIL - No report for NAM..10159 for GFS


Churchill/SDM/NCO