Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 21 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Current advisory context · 140 kt · 161 mph · 919 hPa · NW at 9 kt
Storm Mode · JTWC Warning 21 ·
Latest published advisory

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
JTWC does not publish an NHC cone.
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
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Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional reference: MP; a reference within a wider monitoring area does not replace the complete warning geography. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 931 mb | 728 m | 3.4 | -1.1 | 020° 3 kt |
| 925 mb | 781 m | 6.2 | -2.8 | 065° 8 kt |
| 913 mb | 889 m | 12.2 | 1.2 | — |
| 887 mb | 1130 m | 10.8 | -1.2 | — |
| 866 mb | 1330 m | 9.6 | -1.4 | — |
| 850 mb | 1484 m | 8.4 | -1.6 | 170° 6 kt |
| 825 mb | 1730 m | 6.6 | 0.6 | — |
| 810 mb | 1880 m | 5.4 | -0.6 | — |
| 796 mb | 2022 m | 4.8 | -5.2 | — |
| 785 mb | 2134 m | 5.1 | -14.1 | 215° 15 kt |
| 768 mb | 2315 m | 5.8 | -28.2 | — |
| 756 mb | 2438 m | 5.2 | -30.5 | 210° 16 kt |
| 741 mb | 2606 m | 4.4 | -33.6 | — |
| 729 mb | 2743 m | 3.8 | -34.5 | 225° 18 kt |
| 703 mb | 3032 m | 2.6 | -36.4 | — |
| 700 mb | 3067 m | 2.6 | -36.4 | 220° 21 kt |
| 675 mb | 3353 m | 0.7 | -26.5 | 215° 17 kt |
| 661 mb | 3527 m | -0.5 | -20.5 | — |
| 650 mb | 3658 m | -1.3 | -21.9 | 215° 21 kt |
| 626 mb | 3962 m | -3.3 | -22.0 | 210° 22 kt |
| 602 mb | 4267 m | -5.4 | -21.0 | 215° 23 kt |
| 590 mb | 4424 m | -6.5 | -20.5 | — |
| 579 mb | 4572 m | -7.7 | -20.2 | 220° 26 kt |
| 556 mb | 4877 m | -10.2 | -19.7 | 240° 25 kt |
| 534 mb | 5182 m | -12.7 | -19.1 | 240° 28 kt |
| 514 mb | 5486 m | -15.2 | -18.5 | 240° 33 kt |
| 500 mb | 5690 m | -16.7 | -18.9 | 245° 33 kt |
| 489 mb | 5858 m | -17.3 | -22.3 | — |
| 474 mb | 6096 m | -17.7 | -27.9 | 230° 36 kt |
| 455 mb | 6401 m | -19.4 | -32.6 | 230° 36 kt |
| 432 mb | 6786 m | -21.5 | -38.5 | — |
| 402 mb | 7315 m | -26.4 | -41.5 | 220° 42 kt |
| 400 mb | 7350 m | -26.7 | -41.7 | 225° 43 kt |
| 385 mb | 7620 m | -29.1 | -41.4 | 225° 42 kt |
| 371 mb | 7886 m | -30.9 | -42.9 | — |
| 353 mb | 8230 m | -33.8 | -43.4 | 235° 43 kt |
| 338 mb | 8534 m | -36.3 | -43.8 | 230° 43 kt |
| 323 mb | 8839 m | -38.9 | -44.2 | 230° 41 kt |
| 309 mb | 9144 m | -41.5 | -44.7 | 240° 44 kt |
| 300 mb | 9350 m | -43.3 | -46.1 | 240° 45 kt |
| 289 mb | 9600 m | -45.3 | -48.1 | — |
| 274 mb | 9954 m | -48.3 | -50.8 | — |
| 257 mb | 10363 m | -52.1 | -54.6 | 240° 50 kt |
| 250 mb | 10550 m | -53.7 | -56.1 | 240° 51 kt |
| 237 mb | 10890 m | -56.1 | -58.6 | — |
| 226 mb | 11191 m | -57.5 | -59.9 | — |
| 216 mb | 11476 m | -58.5 | -61.0 | 245° 57 kt |
| 202 mb | 11887 m | -57.3 | -62.0 | 255° 58 kt |
| 200 mb | 11960 m | -57.1 | -62.1 | 255° 60 kt |
| 188 mb | 12352 m | -55.3 | -61.3 | — |
| 175 mb | 12802 m | -55.3 | -63.9 | 255° 65 kt |
| 161 mb | 13340 m | -54.7 | -65.7 | — |
| 150 mb | 13790 m | -55.9 | -67.9 | 255° 62 kt |
| 138 mb | 14326 m | -57.8 | -71.7 | 250° 57 kt |
| 125 mb | 14935 m | -59.0 | -74.7 | 245° 61 kt |
| 115 mb | 15463 m | -58.9 | -76.9 | — |
| 103 mb | 16155 m | -59.5 | -79.5 | 265° 44 kt |
| 100 mb | 16340 m | -59.1 | -80.1 | 250° 41 kt |
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Forecast cycle . Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.
Saved places are read from this device after scripting starts.
Search stays in this browser. A town point is not an address; no address-level surge is calculated.
Solid: Warning 21 ·
Dashed: Warning 14 ·
Solid: JTWC Warning 21 ·
Dashed: JTWC Warning 14 · . Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.
| Field | Selected issuance | Comparison issuance | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximum sustained wind | 140 kt · 161 mph | 130 kt · 150 mph | +10 kt |
| Minimum pressure | 919 hPa | 934 hPa | -15 hPa |
| Center position | 14.8°N, 137.6°E | 13.1°N, 144.8°E | Different observation times; not a forecast shift |
Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.
JTWC has no NHC cone, NHC wind probabilities or NHC civil coastal warnings. Local national services remain the warning authorities.
Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.
No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.
Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.
Cached lightning observations have not loaded. An empty map is not zero lightning.
Interactive layer controls load on this device. Published products remain available below.
None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 21. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.
No U.S. territory is in this storm’s area: JTWC’s track passes within 300 nm of none. Its own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
JTWC Warning 21 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+12 h from forecast cycle | 15.9°N, 135.5°E | super typhoon | 130 kt · 150 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 17.0°N, 133.0°E | super typhoon | 145 kt · 167 mph |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 18.1°N, 130.5°E | super typhoon | 140 kt · 161 mph |
+48 h from forecast cycle | 19.3°N, 128.5°E | super typhoon | 130 kt · 150 mph |
+60 h from forecast cycle | 20.3°N, 126.9°E | typhoon | 120 kt · 138 mph |
+72 h from forecast cycle | 21.1°N, 125.7°E | typhoon | 110 kt · 127 mph |
+96 h from forecast cycle | 23.8°N, 123.7°E | typhoon | 95 kt · 109 mph |
+120 h from forecast cycle | 27.6°N, 123.4°E | typhoon | 70 kt · 81 mph |
Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
| Official issuance | Revision kind | Record |
|---|---|---|
| JTWC Warning 21 · | advisory | Snapshot 34544bc3 · Selected |
| JTWC Warning 20 · | advisory | Snapshot 7c7a42d9 |
| JTWC Warning 19 · | advisory | Snapshot df4ad817 |
| JTWC Warning 18 · | advisory | Snapshot fee9f0ca |
| JTWC Warning 17 · | advisory | Snapshot ded1ea58 |
| JTWC Warning 16 · | advisory | Snapshot 610609f3 |
| JTWC Warning 15 · | advisory | Snapshot 8da30f44 |
| JTWC Warning 14 · | advisory | Snapshot 066b411c |
| JTWC Warning 13 · | advisory | Snapshot 7b6b7d88 |
| JTWC Warning 12 · | advisory | Snapshot adcb8e93 |
| JTWC Warning 11 · | advisory | Snapshot 0bf22ebc |
| JTWC Warning 10 · | advisory | Snapshot eea89e7f |
| JTWC Warning 8 · | advisory | Snapshot ff92eaa6 |
| JTWC Warning 7 · | advisory | Snapshot 9d193cf4 |
| JTWC Warning 6 · | advisory | Snapshot 4d09f045 |
| JTWC Warning 5 · | advisory | Snapshot 7447d924 |
| JTWC Warning 4 · | advisory | Snapshot 2d609133 |
| JTWC Warning 3 · | advisory | Snapshot d96ff9c8 |
| JTWC Warning 2 · | advisory | Snapshot d99cea2d |
| JTWC Warning 1 · | first | Snapshot 99aef0d4 |
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 21 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 21 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. Himawari at 3° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 21 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
JTWC warning, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.