Tropical Depression Twentynine

30 kt · 35 mph · 1004 hPa · WNW at 11 kt

Storm Mode · JTWC Warning 3 · 15 Oct 00:00Z

Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached

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JTWC forecast for Tropical Depression Twentynine, Warning 3; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Warning 3

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.

JTWC supplies no cone for this issuance; none is invented.

MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic

Advisory history

Retained advisory records

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
JTWC Warning 11 · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0bf22ebc
JTWC Warning 10 · 16 Oct 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot eea89e7f
JTWC Warning 8 · 16 Oct 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot ff92eaa6
JTWC Warning 7 · 16 Oct 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9d193cf4
JTWC Warning 6 · 15 Oct 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 4d09f045
JTWC Warning 5 · 15 Oct 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7447d924
JTWC Warning 4 · 15 Oct 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 2d609133
JTWC Warning 3 · 15 Oct 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d96ff9c8 · Selected
JTWC Warning 2 · 14 Oct 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d99cea2d
JTWC Warning 1 · 14 Oct 12:00Z	first	Snapshot 99aef0d4

Advisory comparison details

Solid: JTWC Warning 3 · 15 Oct 00:00Z
Dashed: JTWC Warning 2 · 14 Oct 18:00Z. Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.

Current-state revision (two separate official issuances)
Field	Selected issuance	Comparison issuance	Change
Maximum sustained wind	30 kt · 35 mph	30 kt · 35 mph	0 kt
Minimum pressure	1004 hPa	1004 hPa	0 hPa
Center position	10.7°N, 159.4°E	10.4°N, 160.5°E	Different observation times; not a forecast shift

Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.

Storm details

JTWC Warning 3 · 15 Oct 00:00Z

Center position: 10.7°N, 159.4°E
Minimum pressure: 1004 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 30 kt · 35 mph
Movement: WNW at 11 kt
Change from comparison: Wind 0 kt · pressure 0 hPa
Compared with Warning 2 · 14 Oct 18:00Z

Read official warning (JTWC) ↗

Forecast cycle 15 Oct 00:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Watched places

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Advisory comparison

Show previous forecast as a dashed line

Solid: Warning 3 · 15 Oct 00:00Z
Dashed: Warning 2 · 14 Oct 18:00Z

Compare positions and intensity

Solid: JTWC Warning 3 · 15 Oct 00:00Z
Dashed: JTWC Warning 2 · 14 Oct 18:00Z. Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.

Current-state revision (two separate official issuances)
Field	Selected issuance	Comparison issuance	Change
Maximum sustained wind	30 kt · 35 mph	30 kt · 35 mph	0 kt
Minimum pressure	1004 hPa	1004 hPa	0 hPa
Center position	10.7°N, 159.4°E	10.4°N, 160.5°E	Different observation times; not a forecast shift

Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.

Data coverage

JTWC has no NHC cone, NHC wind probabilities or NHC civil coastal warnings. Local national services remain the warning authorities.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Public event region Aggregation interval Show density on map

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Cached lightning source details and text readings

Map layers, imagery opacity and source clocks

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Potential impacts and monitoring context

Current NWS monitoring states: GU, MP

Coastal alertsNot retained with this historical record Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Nearby severe warnings0 severe/flash-flood warnings in the named monitoring area · source current

Current warnings in the monitoring area

U.S. territories JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of, Warning 3: Guam and Northern Mariana Islands. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.

In force in this area 6

Typhoon Warning1until 20:00Z
Tropical Storm Warning1until 20:00Z
Coastal Flood Warning11 not yet in effect · until 18 Oct 18:00Z
High Surf Warning11 not yet in effect · until 18 Oct 18:00Z
Typhoon Watch1until 08:00Z
Flood Watch1until 18 Oct 06:00Z

Every alert in this area, most urgent first

Typhoon WarningGuam Coastal Waters; Rota Coastal Waters; Guam; Rotauntil 20:00Z · NWS Tiyan GU
Tropical Storm WarningTinian Coastal Waters; Saipan Coastal Waters; Tinian; Saipanuntil 20:00Z · NWS Tiyan GU
Coastal Flood WarningGuam; Rota; Tinian; SaipanFrom 07:00Z · until 18 Oct 18:00Z · NWS Tiyan GU
High Surf WarningGuam; Rota; Tinian; SaipanFrom 07:00Z · until 18 Oct 18:00Z · NWS Tiyan GU
Typhoon WatchTinian; Saipanuntil 08:00Z · NWS Tiyan GU
Flood WatchGuam; Rota; Tinian; Saipanuntil 18 Oct 06:00Z · NWS Tiyan GU

Most urgent first, by the Briefing’s ranking. Checked 02:46Z.

Typhoon Warning
Guam Coastal Waters; Rota Coastal Waters; Guam; Rota
Typhoon Warning issued October 17 at 11:12AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Issued 16 Oct 17:03Z · ends 20:00Z
Official Typhoon Warning bulletin
Tropical Storm Warning
Tinian Coastal Waters; Saipan Coastal Waters; Tinian; Saipan
Tropical Storm Warning issued October 17 at 11:12AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Issued 16 Oct 17:03Z · ends 20:00Z
Official Tropical Storm Warning bulletin
Coastal Flood Warning · Not yet in effect
Guam; Rota; Tinian; Saipan
Coastal Flood Warning issued October 17 at 10:25AM ChST until October 19 at 4:00AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Issued 16 Oct 21:26Z · ends 18 Oct 18:00Z
Official Coastal Flood Warning bulletin
High Surf Warning · Not yet in effect
Guam; Rota; Tinian; Saipan
High Surf Warning issued October 17 at 10:25AM ChST until October 19 at 4:00AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Issued 16 Oct 12:48Z · ends 18 Oct 18:00Z
Official High Surf Warning bulletin
Typhoon Watch
Tinian; Saipan
Typhoon Watch issued October 17 at 9:13AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Issued 16 Oct 23:13Z · ends 08:00Z
Official Typhoon Watch bulletin
Flood Watch
Guam; Rota; Tinian; Saipan
Flood Watch issued October 17 at 5:01AM ChST until October 18 at 4:00PM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Issued 16 Oct 19:01Z · ends 18 Oct 06:00Z
Official Flood Watch bulletin

Official forecast table

Official forecast positions and intensity

JTWC Warning 3 · advisory 15 Oct 00:00Z · forecast cycle 15 Oct 00:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
15 Oct 12:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 157.3°E	tropical depression	30 kt · 35 mph
16 Oct 00:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	11.7°N, 154.7°E	tropical storm	35 kt · 40 mph
16 Oct 12:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	12.1°N, 151.9°E	tropical storm	45 kt · 52 mph
00:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	12.7°N, 149.5°E	tropical storm	55 kt · 63 mph
12:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	13.3°N, 146.9°E	typhoon	70 kt · 81 mph
18 Oct 00:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	13.9°N, 144.4°E	typhoon	85 kt · 98 mph
19 Oct 00:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	15.2°N, 139.5°E	typhoon	115 kt · 132 mph
20 Oct 00:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	17.1°N, 134.8°E	typhoon	125 kt · 144 mph

Monitoring geography and current changes

Area: U.S. territories JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of, Warning 3: Guam and Northern Mariana Islands (NWS states: GU, MP)
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches.
Hazards: Tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood, river flood, areal flood, coastal flood, tropical and other warnings, watches and advisories, and the forecasts for them
Window: In force now, with this warning’s forecast
Made by: JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

Map

This map draws the contiguous United States, and Guam and Northern Mariana Islands are beyond it. What is in force there is listed under “In force in this area”.

What changed, last 60 minutes

since 02:25Z, when this server began watching this area

Nothing has changed since 02:25Z.

The products’ own words and times, and what is no longer in force since the last read. Never written by AI.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 3 (00:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 3 (00:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.

Open the storm’s page

Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Depression Twentynine, JTWC Warning 3

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 3 (00:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Flash-flood risk, Day 1

Marginal

WPC’s excessive rainfall outlook, 01:00Z to 12:00Z, issued 00:56Z: a chance of flash flooding, in four categories. Data: NOAA/WPC.

River gauges in flood

No river, coastal or lake gauge in this area is in flood, observed or forecast.

NWS’s gauges at flood stage or above in the area, worst first, each with its forecast hydrograph on Rain & rivers. Data: NOAA/NWPS.

Rain expected and rain that fell

WPC’s rain forecast and MRMS’s radar estimate of the rain that fell, on the Briefing’s map for the area.

Open Rain & rivers

Data: NOAA/WPC, NOAA/NSSL MRMS.

SPC Day 1 outlook

General Thunderstorms Risk

SPC’s Day 1 categorical outlook, valid 01:00Z to 12:00Z, issued 00:50Z. SPC’s categories, as drawn. Data: NOAA/SPC.

Watches

No tornado or severe thunderstorm watch in force in this area.

SPC’s watches, by number, matched by the counties they list. Data: NOAA/SPC.

Mesoscale discussions

No mesoscale discussion reaches this area.

SPC’s mesoscale discussions whose outline reaches the area. Data: NOAA/SPC.

Storm ingredients

SPC’s hourly mesoanalysis, observed soundings and model guidance for the area, on the Analysis tab with its own clocks.

Open the Analysis tab

Drawn by the Analysis tab’s own renderer. Data: NOAA/SPC, NOAA/NCEP.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

Open the radar

Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.

Sources

JTWC warning, as published checked 02:46Z
NWS warnings and SPC watches checked 02:46Z
NWS watches and advisories checked 02:46Z
SPC mesoscale discussions checked 02:46Z
SPC Day 1 outlook checked 02:45Z
WPC excessive rainfall checked 02:45Z
NWPS river gauges checked 02:45Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.