Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 22 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Current advisory context · 115 kt · 132 mph · 945 hPa · NW at 13 kt
Storm Mode · JTWC Warning 22 ·
Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached
Replay uses retained source bytes. Recording begins with activation; missing history is not clear weather.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
JTWC supplies no cone for this issuance; none is invented.
Use Forecast above to pin an official issuance and valid point. The forecast table and advisory history remain available below.

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 22 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Model guidance is separate from the official forecast. The retained graphic keeps the site’s publication gates and its own aid/run labels; available aids are not all independent predictions.
Forecast cycle . Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.
Saved places are read from this device after scripting starts.
Search stays in this browser. A town point is not an address; no address-level surge is calculated.
Solid: Warning 22 ·
Dashed: Warning 21 ·
Solid: JTWC Warning 22 ·
Dashed: JTWC Warning 21 · . Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.
| Field | Selected issuance | Comparison issuance | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximum sustained wind | 115 kt · 132 mph | 110 kt · 127 mph | +5 kt |
| Minimum pressure | 945 hPa | Not reported | Not comparable |
| Center position | 22.2°N, 150.4°E | 21.4°N, 151.5°E | Different observation times; not a forecast shift |
Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.
JTWC has no NHC cone, NHC wind probabilities or NHC civil coastal warnings. Local national services remain the warning authorities.
Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.
No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.
Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.
Cached lightning observations have not loaded. An empty map is not zero lightning.
Interactive layer controls load on this device. Published products remain available below.
None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 22. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.
No U.S. territory is in this storm’s area: JTWC’s track passes within 300 nm of none. Its own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
JTWC Warning 22 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+12 h from forecast cycle | 23.8°N, 148.9°E | typhoon | 120 kt · 138 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 25.6°N, 147.8°E | typhoon | 115 kt · 132 mph |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 27.4°N, 147.4°E | typhoon | 105 kt · 121 mph |
+48 h from forecast cycle | 29.6°N, 147.8°E | typhoon | 95 kt · 109 mph |
+60 h from forecast cycle | 32.3°N, 149.6°E | typhoon | 85 kt · 98 mph |
+72 h from forecast cycle | 34.9°N, 152.6°E | typhoon | 75 kt · 86 mph |
+96 h from forecast cycle | 40.0°N, 159.8°E | tropical storm | 55 kt · 63 mph |
+120 h from forecast cycle | 43.3°N, 170.0°E | tropical storm | 45 kt · 52 mph |
Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 22 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 22 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
JTWC warning, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.