Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 30 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Tropical Depression Surigae
Current advisory context · 30 kt · 35 mph · NE at 7 kt
Storm Mode · JTWC Warning 30 ·
Final advisory · monitoring can continue
Published advisory track · Warning 30
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
JTWC supplies no cone for this issuance; none is invented.
MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic
Replay uses retained source bytes. Recording begins with activation; missing history is not clear weather.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Replay coverage and interpretation
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Use Forecast above to pin an official issuance and valid point. The forecast table and advisory history remain available below.
Analysis and model context
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
Soundings: what weather balloons measured
A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
The levels this sounding was drawn from (54)
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 mb | 214 m | 7.4 | 0.4 | 220° 8 kt |
| 989 mb | 305 m | 7.4 | -0.9 | 215° 24 kt |
| 969 mb | 473 m | 6.8 | -2.2 | — |
| 953 mb | 610 m | 8.0 | -1.0 | — |
| 925 mb | 856 m | 10.0 | -11.0 | 250° 46 kt |
| 886 mb | 1219 m | 13.8 | -31.1 | 235° 42 kt |
| 854 mb | 1524 m | 13.5 | -35.5 | 235° 35 kt |
| 850 mb | 1564 m | 13.4 | -35.6 | 235° 35 kt |
| 828 mb | 1784 m | 12.0 | -37.0 | — |
| 794 mb | 2134 m | 9.3 | -23.4 | 230° 34 kt |
| 772 mb | 2364 m | 7.6 | -14.4 | — |
| 742 mb | 2689 m | 5.8 | -20.2 | — |
| 711 mb | 3037 m | 4.2 | -11.8 | — |
| 700 mb | 3164 m | 3.2 | -13.8 | 240° 16 kt |
| 663 mb | 3601 m | -0.5 | -16.5 | — |
| 634 mb | 3962 m | -1.7 | -27.4 | 255° 17 kt |
| 622 mb | 4110 m | -0.9 | -38.9 | — |
| 610 mb | 4267 m | -1.9 | -33.0 | 280° 20 kt |
| 587 mb | 4572 m | -3.5 | -33.2 | 270° 18 kt |
| 564 mb | 4877 m | -5.2 | -43.6 | 275° 20 kt |
| 549 mb | 5095 m | -6.3 | -53.3 | — |
| 525 mb | 5443 m | -8.5 | -34.5 | — |
| 502 mb | 5789 m | -10.3 | -38.3 | — |
| 500 mb | 5820 m | -10.5 | -38.5 | 295° 23 kt |
| 490 mb | 5975 m | -11.5 | -33.5 | — |
| 463 mb | 6401 m | -15.1 | -35.4 | 305° 21 kt |
| 449 mb | 6636 m | -17.1 | -38.1 | — |
| 417 mb | 7185 m | -21.3 | -44.3 | — |
| 403 mb | 7435 m | -22.7 | -43.7 | — |
| 400 mb | 7490 m | -23.1 | -44.1 | 300° 23 kt |
| 377 mb | 7925 m | -26.6 | -41.1 | 310° 27 kt |
| 365 mb | 8153 m | -28.5 | -39.5 | — |
| 346 mb | 8534 m | -31.0 | -43.4 | 300° 24 kt |
| 332 mb | 8826 m | -33.1 | -45.1 | — |
| 322 mb | 9040 m | -34.9 | -47.9 | — |
| 308 mb | 9349 m | -37.3 | -48.3 | — |
| 300 mb | 9530 m | -38.9 | -48.9 | 300° 35 kt |
| 277 mb | 10058 m | -43.2 | -52.5 | 305° 34 kt |
| 267 mb | 10316 m | -45.3 | -54.3 | — |
| 253 mb | 10668 m | -48.2 | -56.4 | 305° 36 kt |
| 250 mb | 10750 m | -48.9 | -56.9 | 310° 35 kt |
| 230 mb | 11278 m | -52.7 | -60.7 | 310° 35 kt |
| 220 mb | 11582 m | -54.9 | -62.9 | 310° 36 kt |
| 210 mb | 11887 m | -57.1 | -65.1 | 310° 34 kt |
| 200 mb | 12180 m | -59.1 | -67.1 | 310° 41 kt |
| 190 mb | 12501 m | -60.9 | -67.9 | — |
| 179 mb | 12871 m | -61.9 | -69.9 | — |
| 164 mb | 13411 m | -62.8 | -70.8 | 305° 49 kt |
| 152 mb | 13879 m | -64.9 | -73.9 | 300° 54 kt |
| 150 mb | 13960 m | -65.1 | -74.1 | 305° 53 kt |
| 137 mb | 14512 m | -64.9 | -74.9 | — |
| 124 mb | 15118 m | -65.9 | -77.9 | — |
| 113 mb | 15684 m | -63.9 | -77.9 | — |
| 100 mb | 16430 m | -65.1 | -81.1 | 275° 34 kt |
Every station with a sounding (76)
- Aberdeen, SD (ABR)
- ADN
- Albany, NY (ALB)
- Albuquerque, NM (ABQ)
- Amarillo, TX (AMA)
- Birmingham, AL (BMX)
- Bismarck, ND (BIS)
- Blacksburg, VA (RNK)
- Boise, ID (BOI)
- Brownsville, TX (BRO)
- Buffalo, NY (BUF)
- Cape Canaveral, FL (XMR)
- Caribou, ME (CAR)
- Chanhassen, MN (MPX)
- Charleston, SC (CHS)
- Chihuahua, Mexico (76225)
- Corpus Christi, TX (CRP)
- Davenport, IA (DVN)
- Del Rio, TX (DRT)
- Dodge City, KS (DDC)
- Elko, NV (LKN)
- Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ)
- Fort Worth, TX (FWD)
- Gaylord, MI (APX)
- Glasgow, MT (GGW)
- Grand Junction, CO (GJT)
- Gray, ME (GYX)
- GRB
- Great Falls, MT (TFX)
- Greensboro, NC (GSO)
- International Falls, MN (INL)
- Jackson, MS (JAN)
- Jacksonville, FL (JAX)
- Key West, FL (KEY)
- La Paz, Mexico (76405)
- Lake Charles, LA (LCH)
- Lamont, OK (LMN)
- Las Vegas, NV (VEF)
- Lincoln, IL (ILX)
- Little Rock, AR (LZK)
- Maniwaki, Quebec (WMW)
- Mazatlán, Mexico (76458)
- Medford, OR (MFR)
- Miami, FL (MFL)
- Midland, TX (MAF)
- Nashville, TN (BNA)
- Newport, NC (MHX)
- Norman, OK (OUN)
- North Platte, NE (LBF)
- Oakland, CA (OAK)
- OYU
- Peachtree City, GA (FFC)
- Pickle Lake, Ontario (WPL)
- Pittsburgh, PA (PIT)
- Quillayute, WA (UIL)
- Rapid City, SD (UNR)
- Reno, NV (REV)
- Riverton, WY (RIW)
- Salem, OR (SLE)
- Salt Lake City, UT (SLC)
- San Diego, CA (NKX)
- Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ)
- Shreveport, LA (SHV)
- Slidell, LA (LIX)
- Spokane, WA (OTX)
- Springfield, MO (SGF)
- Sterling, VA (IAD)
- Tampa Bay, FL (TBW)
- Topeka, KS (TOP)
- Upton, NY (OKX)
- Valley, NE (OAX)
- Vandenberg, CA (VBG)
- White Lake, MI (DTX)
- Wilmington, OH (ILN)
- Yarmouth, Nova Scotia (YQI)
- Zacatecas, Mexico (76526)
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Potential impacts and monitoring context
No supported U.S. monitoring areaCurrent warnings in the monitoring area
None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 30. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.
No U.S. area
No U.S. territory is in this storm’s area: JTWC’s track passes within 300 nm of none. Its own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
Official forecast table
Official forecast positions and intensity
JTWC Warning 30 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+12 h from forecast cycle | 33.7°N, 141.1°E | tropical depression | 30 kt · 35 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 36.5°N, 145.2°E | tropical depression | 30 kt · 35 mph |
Advisory history and records
Retained advisory records
Return to latest advisoryEach entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
| Official issuance | Revision kind | Record |
|---|---|---|
| JTWC Warning 30 · | advisory | Snapshot fe417aba · Selected |
| JTWC Warning 29 · | advisory | Snapshot c42914ce |
| JTWC Warning 28 · | advisory | Snapshot 9ee9be54 |
Monitoring geography and current changes
- Area
- None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 30
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches. - Hazards
- —
- Window
- In force now, with this warning’s forecast
- Made by
- JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
All published products and source descriptions
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 30 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. Himawari at 2° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 30 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
Sources
JTWC warning, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.