Tropical Depression Surigae

30 kt · 35 mph · NE at 7 kt

Storm Mode · JTWC Warning 30 · 30 Sep 12:00Z

Final advisory · monitoring can continue

Scripting is off: reload for updates. Advisory selection, comparison, forecast tables and every published product remain available. Watched places stay on your device and need scripting to be read.

JTWC forecast for Tropical Depression Surigae, Warning 30; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Warning 30

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.

JTWC supplies no cone for this issuance; none is invented.

MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

Replay uses retained source bytes. Recording begins with activation; missing history is not clear weather.

Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.

No observed replay frame displayed.

Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)

Use Forecast above to pin an official issuance and valid point. The forecast table and advisory history remain available below.

Analysis and model context

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Davenport, IA (DVN), 18Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Davenport, IA (DVN), for 18:00Z (2 h 58 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (60)

Davenport, IA (DVN): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
1002 mb	229 m	16.4	4.4	205° 9 kt
1000 mb	245 m	15.6	2.6	205° 17 kt
957 mb	610 m	11.7	0.8	205° 16 kt
925 mb	898 m	8.4	-0.6	210° 18 kt
915 mb	988 m	8.4	-0.6	—
890 mb	1219 m	10.1	-11.5	225° 26 kt
866 mb	1445 m	11.8	-22.2	—
850 mb	1600 m	10.8	-16.2	230° 22 kt
834 mb	1758 m	10.0	-8.0	—
812 mb	1979 m	9.6	-10.4	—
797 mb	2134 m	8.9	-9.7	220° 20 kt
768 mb	2438 m	7.3	-13.4	220° 21 kt
757 mb	2558 m	6.6	-15.4	—
740 mb	2743 m	5.7	-26.4	240° 15 kt
727 mb	2888 m	5.0	-35.0	—
700 mb	3195 m	3.4	-23.6	230° 14 kt
686 mb	3353 m	2.6	-19.6	230° 14 kt
676 mb	3477 m	2.8	-19.2	—
664 mb	3622 m	2.6	-20.4	—
647 mb	3831 m	2.6	-22.4	—
637 mb	3962 m	1.9	-23.1	250° 14 kt
619 mb	4187 m	0.8	-24.2	—
603 mb	4397 m	-0.7	-26.7	—
592 mb	4544 m	-0.5	-29.5	—
569 mb	4859 m	-2.5	-29.5	—
548 mb	5156 m	-4.7	-33.7	—
538 mb	5301 m	-5.7	-33.7	—
528 mb	5447 m	-6.7	-37.7	—
512 mb	5687 m	-8.5	-35.5	—
500 mb	5870 m	-10.1	-37.1	270° 20 kt
485 mb	6096 m	-12.1	-37.1	275° 18 kt
466 mb	6401 m	-14.8	-36.7	270° 16 kt
448 mb	6706 m	-17.6	-36.3	260° 16 kt
430 mb	7010 m	-20.0	-37.0	260° 16 kt
412 mb	7315 m	-22.4	-38.1	240° 12 kt
402 mb	7504 m	-23.7	-38.7	—
400 mb	7540 m	-23.7	-39.7	245° 11 kt
381 mb	7894 m	-25.1	-45.1	—
369 mb	8125 m	-26.9	-45.9	—
348 mb	8534 m	-30.2	-49.2	235° 7 kt
334 mb	8839 m	-32.6	-51.0	215° 9 kt
319 mb	9144 m	-35.0	-52.8	200° 12 kt
306 mb	9449 m	-37.4	-54.5	205° 13 kt
300 mb	9580 m	-38.5	-55.5	205° 13 kt
281 mb	10027 m	-42.1	-57.1	—
255 mb	10668 m	-46.9	-60.3	210° 18 kt
250 mb	10810 m	-47.9	-60.9	205° 18 kt
233 mb	11278 m	-50.7	-62.1	180° 17 kt
222 mb	11582 m	-52.7	-63.5	200° 18 kt
212 mb	11887 m	-55.0	-65.3	200° 15 kt
200 mb	12250 m	-57.1	-67.1	205° 17 kt
183 mb	12802 m	-60.6	-68.8	235° 23 kt
166 mb	13411 m	-61.1	-71.1	245° 20 kt
153 mb	13918 m	-62.7	-73.7	—
150 mb	14040 m	-62.7	-74.7	265° 33 kt
140 mb	14464 m	-63.3	-76.3	—
130 mb	14935 m	-64.3	-78.3	260° 27 kt
117 mb	15545 m	-64.8	-80.2	255° 31 kt
106 mb	16154 m	-66.1	-83.1	275° 31 kt
100 mb	16510 m	-66.9	-84.9	270° 41 kt

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 20:45Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Storm details

JTWC Warning 30 · 30 Sep 12:00Z

Center position: 31.8°N, 138.8°E
Minimum pressure: Not reported
Maximum sustained wind: 30 kt · 35 mph
Movement: NE at 7 kt
Change from comparison: Wind -5 kt · pressure Not comparable
Compared with Warning 29 · 30 Sep 06:00Z

Read official warning (JTWC) ↗

Forecast cycle 30 Sep 12:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time. The warning center issued its final advisory; continuing flood/rain monitoring does not imply a new cyclone forecast.

Watched places

Add a location

Saved places are read from this device after scripting starts.

Add or check a place

Search stays in this browser. A town point is not an address; no address-level surge is calculated.

Advisory comparison

Show previous forecast as a dashed line

Solid: Warning 30 · 30 Sep 12:00Z
Dashed: Warning 29 · 30 Sep 06:00Z

Compare positions and intensity

Solid: JTWC Warning 30 · 30 Sep 12:00Z
Dashed: JTWC Warning 29 · 30 Sep 06:00Z. Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.

Current-state revision (two separate official issuances)
Field	Selected issuance	Comparison issuance	Change
Maximum sustained wind	30 kt · 35 mph	35 kt · 40 mph	-5 kt
Minimum pressure	Not reported	Not reported	Not comparable
Center position	31.8°N, 138.8°E	31.2°N, 138.3°E	Different observation times; not a forecast shift

Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.

Data coverage

JTWC has no NHC cone, NHC wind probabilities or NHC civil coastal warnings. Local national services remain the warning authorities.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Public event region Aggregation interval Show density on map

Cached lightning observations have not loaded. An empty map is not zero lightning.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

Map layers, imagery opacity and source clocks

Interactive layer controls load on this device. Published products remain available below.

Potential impacts and monitoring context

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsLocal national warning authorities apply Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Nearby severe warningsNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Current warnings in the monitoring area

None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 30. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

No U.S. area

No U.S. territory is in this storm’s area: JTWC’s track passes within 300 nm of none. Its own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.

Official forecast table

Official forecast positions and intensity

JTWC Warning 30 · advisory 30 Sep 12:00Z · forecast cycle 30 Sep 12:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
1 Oct 00:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	33.7°N, 141.1°E	tropical depression	30 kt · 35 mph
1 Oct 12:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	36.5°N, 145.2°E	tropical depression	30 kt · 35 mph

Advisory history and records

Retained advisory records

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
JTWC Warning 30 · 30 Sep 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot fe417aba · Selected
JTWC Warning 29 · 30 Sep 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c42914ce
JTWC Warning 28 · 30 Sep 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9ee9be54

Monitoring geography and current changes

Area: None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 30
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches.
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this warning’s forecast
Made by: JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 30 (12:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 30 (12:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. Himawari at 2° from the storm's meridian.

Open the storm’s page

Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Depression Surigae, JTWC Warning 30

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 30 (12:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

Open the radar

Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.

Sources

JTWC warning, as published checked 20:58Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.