Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 46 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace
Tropical Storm Saudel
Current advisory context · 35 kt · 40 mph · 992 hPa · NNE at 5 kt
Storm Mode · JTWC Warning 46 ·
Source down · last complete advisory retained
Published advisory track · Warning 46
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
JTWC does not publish an NHC cone.
MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Replay coverage and interpretation
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
Analysis
Area, source times and interpretation
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
Soundings: what weather balloons measured
A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
The levels this sounding was drawn from (60)
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 mb | 5 m | 25.6 | 15.6 | 000° 5 kt |
| 1000 mb | 136 m | 24.8 | 16.8 | 020° 15 kt |
| 981 mb | 305 m | 23.3 | 16.5 | 015° 17 kt |
| 947 mb | 610 m | 20.5 | 15.9 | 020° 21 kt |
| 925 mb | 814 m | 18.6 | 15.5 | 025° 20 kt |
| 914 mb | 914 m | 17.6 | 15.2 | 030° 20 kt |
| 882 mb | 1219 m | 15.3 | 12.5 | 030° 20 kt |
| 853 mb | 1503 m | 12.8 | 12.2 | — |
| 850 mb | 1533 m | 12.8 | 11.9 | 035° 17 kt |
| 829 mb | 1743 m | 11.4 | 10.6 | — |
| 817 mb | 1865 m | 11.2 | 7.5 | — |
| 806 mb | 1979 m | 10.4 | 6.0 | — |
| 793 mb | 2114 m | 9.8 | 4.9 | — |
| 782 mb | 2230 m | 9.6 | 1.6 | — |
| 769 mb | 2369 m | 8.2 | 4.1 | — |
| 755 mb | 2521 m | 7.0 | 2.6 | — |
| 743 mb | 2652 m | 6.2 | 1.8 | — |
| 719 mb | 2922 m | 6.0 | -5.0 | — |
| 707 mb | 3060 m | 6.6 | -11.4 | — |
| 700 mb | 3142 m | 6.0 | -13.0 | 355° 7 kt |
| 680 mb | 3379 m | 5.4 | -28.6 | — |
| 662 mb | 3598 m | 4.4 | -32.6 | — |
| 626 mb | 4050 m | 0.8 | -20.2 | — |
| 610 mb | 4257 m | -0.5 | -32.5 | — |
| 595 mb | 4456 m | -2.3 | -19.3 | — |
| 579 mb | 4672 m | -3.1 | -20.1 | — |
| 566 mb | 4852 m | -3.9 | -25.9 | — |
| 549 mb | 5091 m | -5.9 | -22.9 | — |
| 537 mb | 5265 m | -6.1 | -29.1 | — |
| 526 mb | 5426 m | -6.7 | -30.7 | — |
| 508 mb | 5697 m | -8.9 | -42.9 | — |
| 500 mb | 5820 m | -9.9 | -43.9 | 025° 16 kt |
| 482 mb | 6096 m | -12.3 | -30.6 | 025° 16 kt |
| 472 mb | 6261 m | -13.3 | -49.3 | — |
| 445 mb | 6706 m | -16.0 | -51.4 | 010° 15 kt |
| 433 mb | 6911 m | -17.3 | -52.3 | — |
| 417 mb | 7192 m | -18.9 | -36.9 | — |
| 407 mb | 7372 m | -20.3 | -26.3 | — |
| 400 mb | 7500 m | -21.3 | -27.3 | 245° 7 kt |
| 389 mb | 7705 m | -23.1 | -31.1 | — |
| 378 mb | 7915 m | -25.1 | -31.1 | — |
| 364 mb | 8189 m | -26.3 | -48.3 | — |
| 345 mb | 8576 m | -27.1 | -60.1 | — |
| 322 mb | 9070 m | -30.7 | -61.7 | — |
| 305 mb | 9449 m | -32.6 | -64.4 | 300° 15 kt |
| 300 mb | 9570 m | -33.1 | -65.1 | 305° 8 kt |
| 289 mb | 9830 m | -34.3 | -66.3 | — |
| 272 mb | 10251 m | -36.1 | -68.1 | — |
| 255 mb | 10695 m | -38.1 | -70.1 | — |
| 250 mb | 10830 m | -39.3 | -70.3 | 285° 17 kt |
| 219 mb | 11723 m | -46.3 | -73.3 | — |
| 200 mb | 12320 m | -50.1 | -75.1 | 300° 18 kt |
| 186 mb | 12802 m | -52.1 | -76.5 | 310° 14 kt |
| 175 mb | 13188 m | -53.3 | -78.3 | — |
| 163 mb | 13644 m | -55.9 | -79.9 | — |
| 150 mb | 14170 m | -59.9 | -79.9 | 245° 14 kt |
| 139 mb | 14630 m | -63.0 | -82.6 | 245° 21 kt |
| 126 mb | 15240 m | -65.3 | -84.3 | 275° 14 kt |
| 105 mb | 16333 m | -72.5 | -86.5 | — |
| 100 mb | 16620 m | -72.3 | -86.3 | 245° 10 kt |
Every station with a sounding (77)
- Aberdeen, SD (ABR)
- ADN
- Albany, NY (ALB)
- Albuquerque, NM (ABQ)
- Amarillo, TX (AMA)
- Birmingham, AL (BMX)
- Bismarck, ND (BIS)
- Blacksburg, VA (RNK)
- Boise, ID (BOI)
- Brownsville, TX (BRO)
- Buffalo, NY (BUF)
- Cape Canaveral, FL (XMR)
- Caribou, ME (CAR)
- Chanhassen, MN (MPX)
- Charleston, SC (CHS)
- Chihuahua, Mexico (76225)
- Corpus Christi, TX (CRP)
- Davenport, IA (DVN)
- Del Rio, TX (DRT)
- Dodge City, KS (DDC)
- Elko, NV (LKN)
- Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ)
- Fort Worth, TX (FWD)
- Gaylord, MI (APX)
- Glasgow, MT (GGW)
- Grand Junction, CO (GJT)
- Gray, ME (GYX)
- GRB
- Great Falls, MT (TFX)
- Greensboro, NC (GSO)
- International Falls, MN (INL)
- Jackson, MS (JAN)
- Jacksonville, FL (JAX)
- Key West, FL (KEY)
- La Paz, Mexico (76405)
- Lake Charles, LA (LCH)
- Lamont, OK (LMN)
- Las Vegas, NV (VEF)
- Lincoln, IL (ILX)
- Little Rock, AR (LZK)
- Maniwaki, Quebec (WMW)
- Mazatlán, Mexico (76458)
- Medford, OR (MFR)
- Miami, FL (MFL)
- Midland, TX (MAF)
- Nashville, TN (BNA)
- Newport, NC (MHX)
- Norman, OK (OUN)
- North Platte, NE (LBF)
- Oakland, CA (OAK)
- OYU
- Peachtree City, GA (FFC)
- Pickle Lake, Ontario (WPL)
- Pittsburgh, PA (PIT)
- Quillayute, WA (UIL)
- Rapid City, SD (UNR)
- Reno, NV (REV)
- Riverton, WY (RIW)
- Salem, OR (SLE)
- Salt Lake City, UT (SLC)
- San Diego, CA (NKX)
- Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ)
- Shreveport, LA (SHV)
- Slidell, LA (LIX)
- Spokane, WA (OTX)
- Springfield, MO (SGF)
- Sterling, VA (IAD)
- Tampa Bay, FL (TBW)
- Topeka, KS (TOP)
- Upton, NY (OKX)
- Valley, NE (OAX)
- Vandenberg, CA (VBG)
- White Lake, MI (DTX)
- Wilmington, OH (ILN)
- Yarmouth, Nova Scotia (YQI)
- YCX
- Zacatecas, Mexico (76526)
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Impacts
No supported U.S. monitoring areaCurrent warnings in the monitoring area
None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 46. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.
No U.S. area
No U.S. territory is in this storm’s area: JTWC’s track passes within 300 nm of none. Its own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
Official forecast table
Forecast points
JTWC Warning 46 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+12 h from forecast cycle | 23.9°N, 117.6°E | tropical storm | 35 kt · 40 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 23.9°N, 116.5°E | tropical depression | 25 kt · 29 mph |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 23.7°N, 115.3°E | tropical depression | 20 kt · 23 mph |
Advisory history and records
Advisory history
Return to latest advisoryThe issuance history could not be read. This is not an absence of previous advisories. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
No verifiable retained snapshots are listed.
Monitoring geography and current changes
- Area
- None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 46
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches. - Hazards
- —
- Window
- In force now, with this warning’s forecast
- Made by
- JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
All published products and source descriptions
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 46 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 46 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
Sources
JTWC warning, as published down · last read , 7 min ago
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
No supported NWS monitoring area. Check local warning authorities.
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.