STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace

Tropical Storm Saudel

35 kt · 40 mph · 992 hPa · NNE at 5 kt

Storm Mode · JTWC Warning 46 · 2 Sep 18:00Z

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JTWC forecast for Tropical Storm Saudel, Warning 46; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Warning 46

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MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic

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Replay coverage and interpretation

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

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Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Mazatlán, Mexico (76458), 00Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Mazatlán, Mexico (76458), for 00:00Z (1 h 30 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (55)

Mazatlán, Mexico (76458): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
1009 mb	4 m	31.0	27.8	220° 2 kt
1000 mb	83 m	29.6	25.7	295° 10 kt
976 mb	299 m	27.9	25.7	285° 10 kt
964 mb	409 m	26.6	23.8	—
944 mb	594 m	27.2	19.2	315° 6 kt
925 mb	773 m	26.2	18.2	290° 4 kt
881 mb	1197 m	23.4	16.0	230° 4 kt
851 mb	1498 m	21.5	14.4	155° 4 kt
850 mb	1508 m	21.4	14.4	160° 4 kt
822 mb	1799 m	20.0	11.1	175° 8 kt
806 mb	1969 m	19.2	9.2	—
794 mb	2097 m	18.3	8.5	165° 8 kt
767 mb	2391 m	16.1	6.8	135° 4 kt
714 mb	3000 m	11.6	3.4	180° 2 kt
700 mb	3168 m	10.4	2.4	215° 2 kt
689 mb	3299 m	9.5	0.8	155° 2 kt
664 mb	3603 m	7.2	0.6	055° 2 kt
646 mb	3829 m	5.4	1.1	—
617 mb	4202 m	3.4	-2.8	250° 6 kt
604 mb	4375 m	2.4	-4.6	—
572 mb	4811 m	-0.9	-5.6	—
552 mb	5093 m	-2.4	-10.4	240° 10 kt
531 mb	5399 m	-4.1	-15.5	200° 12 kt
500 mb	5870 m	-7.1	-21.1	200° 12 kt
484 mb	6123 m	-8.7	-27.7	—
473 mb	6301 m	-10.2	-23.7	190° 14 kt
453 mb	6632 m	-12.9	-26.9	—
437 mb	6904 m	-14.5	-38.4	225° 18 kt
400 mb	7570 m	-19.1	-49.1	240° 18 kt
372 mb	8103 m	-22.7	-48.4	240° 14 kt
357 mb	8405 m	-24.8	-47.9	265° 23 kt
302 mb	9593 m	-35.1	-48.5	265° 29 kt
300 mb	9640 m	-35.5	-48.5	260° 29 kt
290 mb	9876 m	-36.9	-52.9	—
275 mb	10242 m	-40.1	-55.1	—
265 mb	10494 m	-41.3	-50.4	210° 35 kt
254 mb	10783 m	-42.5	-47.1	—
250 mb	10890 m	-42.9	-48.9	195° 62 kt
232 mb	11389 m	-44.4	-64.4	195° 74 kt
217 mb	11835 m	-45.9	-72.9	—
200 mb	12370 m	-50.5	-76.5	205° 88 kt
184 mb	12899 m	-54.3	-78.7	210° 86 kt
154 mb	14028 m	-62.5	-83.5	—
150 mb	14190 m	-63.7	-83.7	230° 70 kt
131 mb	15005 m	-68.1	-85.7	240° 43 kt
119 mb	15583 m	-71.3	-87.1	220° 37 kt
100 mb	16610 m	-74.1	-87.1	240° 27 kt
87 mb	17420 m	-76.9	-87.8	270° 4 kt
75 mb	18273 m	-77.2	-87.9	160° 21 kt
64 mb	19202 m	-68.2	-89.5	290° 10 kt
53 mb	20344 m	-64.8	-96.8	130° 12 kt
40 mb	22130 m	-62.5	-95.5	—
29 mb	24095 m	-55.1	-90.0	325° 16 kt
19 mb	26783 m	-52.4	-87.8	335° 10 kt
9 mb	31715 m	-34.1	-75.1	—

Every station with a sounding (77)

SPC observed soundings checked 01:30Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Storm details

JTWC Warning 46 · 2 Sep 18:00Z

Center position: 23.4°N, 118.4°E
Minimum pressure: 992 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 35 kt · 40 mph
Movement: NNE at 5 kt
Since comparison advisory: Comparison unavailable

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Forecast cycle 2 Sep 18:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

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Data coverage

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Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsLocal national warning authorities apply Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Current warnings in the monitoring area

None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 46. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

No U.S. area

No U.S. territory is in this storm’s area: JTWC’s track passes within 300 nm of none. Its own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.

Official forecast table

Forecast points

JTWC Warning 46 · advisory 2 Sep 18:00Z · forecast cycle 2 Sep 18:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
3 Sep 06:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	23.9°N, 117.6°E	tropical storm	35 kt · 40 mph
3 Sep 18:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	23.9°N, 116.5°E	tropical depression	25 kt · 29 mph
4 Sep 06:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	23.7°N, 115.3°E	tropical depression	20 kt · 23 mph

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

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Monitoring geography and current changes

Area: None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 46
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches.
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this warning’s forecast
Made by: JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area

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Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 46 (18:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 46 (18:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Satellite

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Saudel, JTWC Warning 46

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 46 (18:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Radar

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Sources

JTWC warning, as published checked 01:29Z
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NWS coverage unavailableTropical Storm Saudel · — alerts

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