Flash-flood risk, Day 1
- Marginal
- Slight
WPC’s excessive rainfall outlook, to , issued : a chance of flash flooding, in four categories. Data: NOAA/WPC.
CURRENT CONTEXT · 1 warning total · 0 tornado warnings · 1 alert including watches and advisories
Current alert feed · checked
Warnings in area
1 of 1 alertsWatched places
Places saved on this device appear here with scripting enabled.
Map
- Flood Warning 1
NWS’s polygons as issued, or the zones a zone-issued alert names; SPC’s watches by their counties. Checked . Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC.
Agency warning geometry · no observed imagery displayed
Interactive imagery loads separately. Missing radar does not remove warnings or imply clear weather.
Alert outlines: NOAA/NWS; cell points/observed segments: IEM/NEXRAD. A warning polygon is not a tornado footprint.
Lightning activity — GOES GLM
Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.
Cached lightning observations have not loaded. An empty map is not zero lightning.
Snow analysis — NOHRSC
Source-rendered snow depth and snow water equivalent for the lower 48. History changes this snow picture only; warnings and radar keep their own clocks.
Stored snow depth · footprint valid 2026-10-18 00:00:00 UTC, picture retrieved 2026-10-18 06:23:06.237 UTC.
No NOHRSC picture displayed on the interactive map.
0 - 0.39 in
0.39 - 2.0 in
2.0 - 3.9 in
3.9 - 9.8 in
9.8 - 20 in
20 - 39 in
39 - 59 in
59 - 98 in
98 - 197 in
197 - 295 in
295 - 394 in
394 - 787 in
NOHRSC footprint times are metadata; pixel analysis time is not independently verified. Snow-depth pixels have previously differed from the footprint time. This is modeled/assimilated snow analysis, not a measurement at a place. Unshaded and no-data areas do not establish zero snow.
Replay uses retained source bytes. Recording begins with activation; missing history is not clear weather.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Replay coverage and interpretation
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Radar-derived cells (0) · current
Collector checked ; feed generated . Zero cells does not establish coverage or clear weather. Observations from different radars are not merged.
Station and river observations (144)
Surface source current; observed water-level source current. Each reading keeps its own time. Map markers show at most 500 stations and 500 gauges; the complete source directory is paginated.
Circle: surface station; square: water-level gauge. Filled: current reading and source; hollow: stale, unconfirmed or missing observation. Marker color is not a hazard category. Enable “Stations and gauges” in Layers to inspect them on the map.
- K0F2 · K0F2 · current ·
- K11R · K11R · current ·
- K2R9 · K2R9 · current ·
- K4F2 · K4F2 · current ·
- K5C1 · K5C1 · current ·
- K5T9 · K5T9 · current ·
- K6P9 · K6P9 · current ·
- K6R3 · K6R3 · current ·
- K81R · K81R · current ·
- K8T6 · K8T6 · current ·
- KACT · KACT · current ·
- KADS · KADS · current ·
- KALI · KALI · current ·
- KAPY · KAPY · current ·
- KAQO · KAQO · current ·
- KARM · KARM · current ·
- KAXH · KAXH · current ·
- KBAZ · KBAZ · current ·
- KBBD · KBBD · current ·
- KBEA · KBEA · current ·
- KBGD · KBGD · current ·
- KBKD · KBKD · current ·
- KBMT · KBMT · current ·
- KBPG · KBPG · current ·
- KBPT · KBPT · current ·
- KBRO · KBRO · current ·
- KCDS · KCDS · current ·
- KCFD · KCFD · current ·
- KCNW · KCNW · current ·
- KCOM · KCOM · current ·
- KCOT · KCOT · current ·
- KCRS · KCRS · current ·
- KCVB · KCVB · current ·
- KCWC · KCWC · current ·
- KCZT · KCZT · current ·
- KDAL · KDAL · current ·
- KDTO · KDTO · current ·
- KDUX · KDUX · current ·
- KDYS · KDYS · current ·
- KDZB · KDZB · current ·
- KE01 · KE01 · current ·
- KE11 · KE11 · current ·
- KE35 · KE35 · current ·
- KE38 · KE38 · current ·
- KE41 · KE41 · current ·
- KE42 · KE42 · current ·
- KE57 · KE57 · current ·
- KEBG · KEBG · current ·
- KECU · KECU · current ·
- KEFD · KEFD · current ·
- KELA · KELA · current ·
- KERV · KERV · current ·
- KETN · KETN · current ·
- KF00 · KF00 · current ·
- KF05 · KF05 · current ·
- KF17 · KF17 · current ·
- KF44 · KF44 · current ·
- KF46 · KF46 · current ·
- KFST · KFST · current ·
- KFTN · KFTN · current ·
- KGDJ · KGDJ · current ·
- KGGG · KGGG · current ·
- KGKY · KGKY · current ·
- KGLE · KGLE · current ·
- KGNC · KGNC · current ·
- KGOP · KGOP · current ·
- KGPM · KGPM · current ·
- KGRK · KGRK · current ·
- KGTU · KGTU · current ·
- KGVT · KGVT · current ·
- KGYB · KGYB · current ·
- KGZN · KGZN · current ·
- KHDO · KHDO · current ·
- KHHF · KHHF · current ·
- KHLR · KHLR · current ·
- KHQZ · KHQZ · current ·
- KHRL · KHRL · current ·
- KHRX · KHRX · current ·
- KHYI · KHYI · current ·
- KIAH · KIAH · current ·
- KIKG · KIKG · current ·
- KINJ · KINJ · current ·
- KJAS · KJAS · current ·
- KJWY · KJWY · current ·
- KJXI · KJXI · current ·
- KLBX · KLBX · current ·
- KLLN · KLLN · current ·
- KLRD · KLRD · current ·
- KLUD · KLUD · current ·
- KLUV · KLUV · current ·
- KLXY · KLXY · current ·
- KLZZ · KLZZ · current ·
- KMAF · KMAF · current ·
- KMCJ · KMCJ · current ·
- KMDD · KMDD · current ·
- KMFE · KMFE · current ·
- KMNZ · KMNZ · current ·
- KMWL · KMWL · current ·
- KNFW · KNFW · current ·
- KNGP · KNGP · current ·
Showing 100 of 144 listed sources. All surface stations and retained trends · All supported gauges and forecasts
Selected details
CloseSurface station KACT
current · Observed 2026-10-18 06:51:00 UTC · wind 4 kt · temperature 11.1 °C.
Station KACT · -97.2283, 31.618 (longitude, latitude).
Source checked 2026-10-18 07:45:06.573Z · current.
Station observations, not an address forecast or cyclone maximum wind. Maintenance-flagged, old and implausible reports are excluded by the existing parser; this is not independent NWS quality control.
Retained observations: 23; target 24 hours, at most 96 reports per station. Recording began 2026-10-17 06:15:07.108Z; oldest available reading 2026-10-17 08:51:00 UTC.
Temperature, dew point and pressure trends
Observed reports as a table (23)
| Observed (UTC) | Wind / gust (kt) | From (° true) | Temperature / dew point (°C) | Pressure (mb) | Visibility (mi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 08:51:00 UTC | 11 / Not reported | 360 | 10 / 3.9 | 1032.4 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 09:51:00 UTC | 8 / Not reported | 340 | 8.9 / 3.9 | 1032.7 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 10:51:00 UTC | 8 / Not reported | 350 | 8.3 / 4.4 | 1033.2 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 11:51:00 UTC | 6 / Not reported | 350 | 8.3 / 3.9 | 1033.8 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 12:51:00 UTC | 7 / Not reported | 360 | 7.8 / 3.9 | 1034 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 13:51:00 UTC | 9 / Not reported | 360 | 10 / 4.4 | 1034.5 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 14:51:00 UTC | 12 / Not reported | 30 | 12.8 / 4.4 | 1035 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 15:51:00 UTC | 7 / Not reported | 30 | 15 / 3.9 | 1034.6 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 16:51:00 UTC | 9 / Not reported | 50 | 16.1 / 3.3 | 1034.1 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 17:51:00 UTC · corrected (1) | 8 / Not reported | 330 | 16.7 / 3.3 | 1033.2 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 18:51:00 UTC | 4 / Not reported | Variable | 18.3 / 2.8 | 1031.7 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 19:51:00 UTC | 5 / Not reported | Variable | 18.9 / 3.3 | 1030.1 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 20:51:00 UTC | 7 / 15 | 20 | 19.4 / 3.3 | 1029.3 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 21:51:00 UTC | 7 / Not reported | 360 | 19.4 / 2.8 | 1028.9 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 22:51:00 UTC | 9 / Not reported | 350 | 19.4 / 3.3 | 1028.7 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-17 23:51:00 UTC | 7 / Not reported | 360 | 16.7 / 3.3 | 1028.7 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-18 00:51:00 UTC | 5 / Not reported | 350 | 13.3 / 4.4 | 1029.2 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-18 01:51:00 UTC | 5 / Not reported | 340 | 12.8 / 4.4 | 1029.4 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-18 02:51:00 UTC | 4 / Not reported | 340 | 11.7 / 5.6 | 1029.5 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-18 03:51:00 UTC | 4 / Not reported | 350 | 11.1 / 5.6 | 1029.7 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-18 04:51:00 UTC | 4 / Not reported | 340 | 11.1 / 5.6 | 1029.8 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-18 05:51:00 UTC | 4 / Not reported | 350 | 10.6 / 5 | 1029.3 | 10 or more |
| 2026-10-18 06:51:00 UTC | 4 / Not reported | 360 | 11.1 / 5.6 | 1028.9 | 10 or more |
Capture times, quality and provenance
Each report keeps its observation time, first capture of this version, and the SHA-256 of the source bulk body. Corrections at the same observation time replace that point and are marked; unrelated bulk-file changes do not freshen a report.
- Observed 2026-10-17 08:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 09:00:08.266Z; source body SHA-256
dda37380aed4adf0d16283db418b687ad12fa115e99cb467408b1713a5975398. - Observed 2026-10-17 09:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 10:00:07.986Z; source body SHA-256
9340f13b53b6f68bd8a30ed2d06d6d234571fd5b0e713e9ce9e31feeb68061fa. - Observed 2026-10-17 10:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 11:00:07.266Z; source body SHA-256
5a711bd8c8d161a730ce3a8e27f04e0d3fbb9b2da387eb562a09cd242e107b73. - Observed 2026-10-17 11:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 12:00:07.101Z; source body SHA-256
0d48ce09e98a50d784e5ad8e140491c989145805c5bb2e2374c623945ce9d22d. - Observed 2026-10-17 12:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 13:00:09.198Z; source body SHA-256
aa321e5db523e4ae79b5eb84e3edd54688a5b7f83f8b9534cd752d4abe9a07e1. - Observed 2026-10-17 13:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 14:00:06.148Z; source body SHA-256
eddc6593eb288cbf6f6e163ab9b2a8e2d83da18452c1b5ac1e3855ebb2db91be. - Observed 2026-10-17 14:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 15:00:06.490Z; source body SHA-256
fd6f39df63ed66d82a0d722d3ba639a811bb9e87f6416735ea4ec817c4b69f7b. - Observed 2026-10-17 15:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 16:00:07.184Z; source body SHA-256
011c3be17b8bb37fe5f6ec9648267ed81c7e9853e6a8b98b8ad0bb065dff5968. - Observed 2026-10-17 16:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 17:00:06.696Z; source body SHA-256
b8be3a3f9dbb0f9d47f7f7d56c511352303f71121022093aee1718b59882e480. - Observed 2026-10-17 17:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 18:15:09.016Z; source body SHA-256
d40c721ef04f917fd2bc85c84ea40a5039d51af5cdf6376401aac6045358c892. - Observed 2026-10-17 18:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 19:00:06.492Z; source body SHA-256
9b92790a99ac0e8c2777442829b2a9236f72d6e831b8d9a0836ca29a9d3acbba. - Observed 2026-10-17 19:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 20:00:08.337Z; source body SHA-256
b75985c438912b2da4a26e309fc2fbabef235be8a13c5848c5c5d64297850019. - Observed 2026-10-17 20:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 21:00:07.279Z; source body SHA-256
79c0cc8ae6d502baffa56263b2daf4c86fd1628f11d5a529402c527d0ff32fe1. - Observed 2026-10-17 21:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 22:00:07.362Z; source body SHA-256
f1fa85855e007d5d5b85e6dbf4575f6d6bfe58fd5c9a7bb6d9e9cc636ec4c3b2. - Observed 2026-10-17 22:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-17 23:00:07.092Z; source body SHA-256
2ee1214ad66de98865565d92f21f7f5094d6b2e4ef4f09839341a5e6cd89b61b. - Observed 2026-10-17 23:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 00:00:09.347Z; source body SHA-256
fe50c177f37463edb2970e7df309ca8243c740fe7f3ba6344704878ab6922ee2. - Observed 2026-10-18 00:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 01:00:10.019Z; source body SHA-256
949eb463d93270208adccd66994771bf859674b804d78a93f2b1e78571af9b73. - Observed 2026-10-18 01:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 02:00:07.747Z; source body SHA-256
2a808d30ef24af292625f66ac29ed87d3497f0029e7978811a5214db4d4e391c. - Observed 2026-10-18 02:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 03:00:08.091Z; source body SHA-256
1ff4ba07d334ddc5e777bc047fb0a9a13be27865eed8a1596ab4f40757641175. - Observed 2026-10-18 03:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 04:00:09.699Z; source body SHA-256
8e92b49a3b0987ff40c99aaaa9dbae3470c3cdf7475dec143172378b951fb9c9. - Observed 2026-10-18 04:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 05:00:07.387Z; source body SHA-256
d0747946a85e0b6149bd4061e0c1af798f590d9eac7088d421db1613ed7afb6e. - Observed 2026-10-18 05:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 06:00:07.780Z; source body SHA-256
516488ab99336824be748099d9095cce133bd39e49a9ebce7ac31e8ca5594345. - Observed 2026-10-18 06:51:00 UTC, captured 2026-10-18 07:00:07.060Z; source body SHA-256
cef387356b01a216d569fa5c4ef4911e52a5f5bb19d30034c5f3867ad0b3f6c5.
Values use the decoded station report. Null means not reported, never zero. Gust is kept separate from sustained wind.
Observation source page · Cached readings as JSON · Official source
Recent source changes
- gauges-forecast · source-revision · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:55:07.943Z
- gauge-details · source-revision · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:55:07.943Z
- office-afd · source-revision · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:55:07.208Z
- office-hwo · source-revision · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:55:07.208Z
- radar-alerts · source-revision · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:54:04.573Z
- radar-alerts · source-revision · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:53:05.144Z
- pwpf-day1-ice-quarter-inch · source-revision · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:53:05.075Z
- pwpf-day1-snow-4in · source-recovered · Recorded 2026-10-18T07:53:05.075Z
Recording coverage and limits
- warnings: retained from 2026-10-17T07:58:11.063Z through 2026-10-18T07:58:03.743Z
- outlooks: retained from 2026-10-17T07:58:11.063Z through 2026-10-18T07:55:07.208Z
- hydro: retained from 2026-10-17T07:58:11.063Z through 2026-10-18T07:55:07.943Z
- analysis: retained from 2026-10-17T07:58:11.063Z through 2026-10-18T07:45:08.639Z
- winter: retained from 2026-10-17T07:58:11.063Z through 2026-10-18T07:53:05.075Z
Source-message history is not recorded imagery replay. Recorded radar/satellite imagery is not available in this view.
Checks every minute; each layer keeps its own time.
About this monitored event
This event, as this site’s operators set it up
- Kind
- Severe weather
- Window
- Open: no start or end was set
- Updated
Analysis and model context
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional reference: TX; a reference within a wider monitoring area does not replace the complete warning geography. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
Model guidance: what the models forecast
REFS · Rotating storms · initialized · valid
REFS / HRRR: feeds current
REFS: Feed current; checked .
HRRR: Feed current; checked .
Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.
Rotating storms
How many of the ensemble’s members grow a storm with a strongly rotating updraft near each point in the hour: the model’s sign of a supercell, which can bring tornadoes, large hail and damaging wind.
A forecast’s own uncertainty, not a forecast of coverage: REFS is a set of runs of NCEP’s RRFS model, each started a little differently, and the share is how many of them put the event near a point. 30% is three runs in ten. It is guidance forecasters weigh, not SPC’s outlook and not a warning.
Share of members
- 10–30%
- 30–50%
- 50–70%
- 70–90%
- 90% or more
- under 10%: not drawn
In Texas: under 10% of members anywhere in the state.
Highest anywhere in the hour: 45.5% of members.
Pre-operational: NCEP’s parallel REFS, which it plans to make operational on 3 November 2026 (Service Change Notice 26-48). Until then it may be late, missing or changed without notice.
Model, field & forecast hours
Retention & comparison limits
Only rolling current frames and limited previous copies are retained. Complete historical runs are not archived, so two-run comparison is unavailable. Only the published forecast hours are stepped; gaps are explicit. Rainfall uses WPC’s existing forecast, not an unprovided model rainfall field.
REFS (NOMADS) checked · Data: NOAA/NCEP
HRRR pictures (MAG) checked · Data: NOAA/NCEP
Spotlight: Flash-flood risk, Day 1
1 of 8River gauges in flood
0 major · 0 moderate · 1 minor · 3 at action stage
- minor Electra ELTT2, forecast
NWS’s gauges at flood stage or above in the area, worst first, each with its forecast hydrograph on Rain & rivers. Data: NOAA/NWPS.
Rain expected and rain that fell
WPC’s rain forecast and MRMS’s radar estimate of the rain that fell, on the Briefing’s map for the area.
Data: NOAA/WPC, NOAA/NSSL MRMS.
SPC Day 1 outlook
- General Thunderstorms Risk
SPC’s Day 1 categorical outlook, valid to , issued . SPC’s categories, as drawn. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Watches
No tornado or severe thunderstorm watch in force in this area.
SPC’s watches, by number, matched by the counties they list. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Mesoscale discussions
No mesoscale discussion reaches this area.
SPC’s mesoscale discussions whose outline reaches the area. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Storm ingredients
SPC’s hourly mesoanalysis, observed soundings and model guidance for the area, on the Analysis tab with its own clocks.
Drawn by the Analysis tab’s own renderer. Data: NOAA/SPC, NOAA/NCEP.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
What changed, last 60 minutes
since , when this server began watching this areaNothing has changed since 07:23Z.
The products’ own words and times, and what is no longer in force since the last read. Never written by AI.
Monitoring area, legacy alert summary and selection rules
- Area
- Texas (NWS states: TX)
- Hazards
- Tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood, river flood, areal flood, coastal flood and other warnings, watches and advisories, and the forecasts for them
- Window
- In force now, with the next days of SPC’s and WPC’s products
- Made by
- This site’s operators, in its admin console. Nothing about a reader is stored. Watch another area
An area the operators chose, not a storm’s footprint: everything here is in force in this area, never “from this event”.
In force in this area 1
- Flood Warning11 not yet in effect · until 21 Oct 00:32Z
Every alert in this area, most urgent first
- Flood WarningWichita and Wilbarger counties, TXFrom · until · NWS Norman OK
Most urgent first, by the Briefing’s ranking. Checked .
Sources
Curated events, as published checked
NWS warnings and SPC watches checked
NWS watches and advisories checked
SPC mesoscale discussions checked
SPC Day 1 outlook checked
WPC excessive rainfall checked
NWPS river gauges checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.