Data health
STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace

Storm Mode · Severe weather event

Test123

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Weather Operations Mode
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Choose another storm or areaClassic view
Agency warning geometry · no observed imagery displayed

Map

NWS’s polygons as issued, or the zones a zone-issued alert names; SPC’s watches by their counties. Checked . Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC.

North ↑
ⓘ About this map

Outlines: NOAA/NWS · Radar cells: IEM/NEXRAD. Outlines are warned areas, not storm paths.

Interactive imagery loads separately. Missing radar does not remove warnings or imply clear weather.

Change time or forecast product

Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.

Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.

No observed replay frame displayed.

Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)

Analysis and guidance

Choose product

Current weather

ReportsAnalysis and guidanceRadar

Observations

Coastal observationsRadar-derived cellsStations and river gauges

Severe storms

SPC Day 1 outlookWatchesMesoscale discussions

Rain and flooding

Flash-flood risk, Day 1River gauges in floodRain expected and rain that fell

Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional reference: TX; a reference within a wider monitoring area does not replace the complete warning geography. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Model guidance: what the models forecast

REFS · Rotating storms · initialized · valid

REFS / HRRR: feeds current

REFS: Feed current; checked .

HRRR: Feed current; checked .

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Forecast REFS run , hour +9, valid . Chance of a rotating updraft nearby (2–5 km updraft helicity over 75 m²/s² in the hour). Data: NOAA/NCEP.

Rotating storms

How many of the ensemble’s members grow a storm with a strongly rotating updraft near each point in the hour: the model’s sign of a supercell, which can bring tornadoes, large hail and damaging wind.

A forecast’s own uncertainty, not a forecast of coverage: REFS is a set of runs of NCEP’s RRFS model, each started a little differently, and the share is how many of them put the event near a point. 30% is three runs in ten. It is guidance forecasters weigh, not SPC’s outlook and not a warning.

Share of members

  • 10–30%
  • 30–50%
  • 50–70%
  • 70–90%
  • 90% or more
  • under 10%: not drawn

In Texas: under 10% of members anywhere in the state.

Highest anywhere in the hour: 49% of members.

Pre-operational: NCEP’s parallel REFS, which it plans to make operational on 3 November 2026 (Service Change Notice 26-48). Until then it may be late, missing or changed without notice.

Compare REFS and HRRR context
Model, field & forecast hours
Retention & comparison limits

Only rolling current frames and limited previous copies are retained. Complete historical runs are not archived, so two-run comparison is unavailable. Only the published forecast hours are stepped; gaps are explicit. Rainfall uses WPC’s existing forecast, not an unprovided model rainfall field.

REFS (NOMADS) checked · Data: NOAA/NCEP

HRRR pictures (MAG) checked · Data: NOAA/NCEP

Radar-derived cells (0) · current

Collector checked ; feed generated . Zero cells does not establish coverage or clear weather. Observations from different radars are not merged.

    Station and river observations (165)

    Surface source current; observed water-level source current. Each reading keeps its own time. Map markers show at most 500 stations and 500 gauges; the complete source directory is paginated.

    Circle: surface station; square: water-level gauge. Filled: current reading and source; hollow: stale, unconfirmed or missing observation. Marker color is not a hazard category. Enable “Stations and gauges” in Layers to inspect them on the map.

    Showing 100 of 165 listed sources. All surface stations and retained trends · All supported gauges and forecasts

    About this monitored event

    This event, as this site’s operators set it up

    Kind
    Severe weather
    Window
    Open: no start or end was set
    Updated

    Spotlight

    8 products · choose one
    Monitoring area details
    Area
    Texas (NWS states: TX)
    Hazards
    Tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood, river flood, areal flood, coastal flood and other warnings, watches and advisories, and the forecasts for them
    Window
    In force now, with the next days of SPC’s and WPC’s products
    Made by
    This site’s operators, in its admin console. Nothing about a reader is stored. Watch another area

    An area the operators chose, not a storm’s footprint: everything here is in force in this area, never “from this event”.

    In force in this area

    No warning, watch or advisory for these hazards is in force in this area.

    NWS’s alerts checked : a successful check, so this is none in force, not “can’t tell”.

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    Places saved on this device appear here with scripting enabled.

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