Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 43 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace
Post-Tropical Cyclone Karina
Current advisory context · 40 kt · 46 mph · 998 hPa · WNW at 5 kt
Storm Mode · NHC Advisory 43 ·
Final advisory · monitoring can continue
Published advisory track · Advisory 43
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.
MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Replay coverage and interpretation
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
Analysis
Area, source times and interpretation
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
Soundings: what weather balloons measured
A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
The levels this sounding was drawn from (59)
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1016 mb | 5 m | 21.0 | 17.0 | 330° 6 kt |
| 1006 mb | 90 m | 21.4 | 18.0 | — |
| 1000 mb | 141 m | 22.0 | 17.0 | 025° 14 kt |
| 989 mb | 237 m | 23.4 | 15.4 | — |
| 947 mb | 610 m | 20.1 | 14.7 | 050° 21 kt |
| 929 mb | 780 m | 18.6 | 14.4 | — |
| 925 mb | 817 m | 18.4 | 13.7 | 045° 20 kt |
| 915 mb | 914 m | 17.8 | 11.0 | 055° 20 kt |
| 904 mb | 1014 m | 18.0 | 7.0 | — |
| 882 mb | 1219 m | 16.4 | 6.5 | 040° 21 kt |
| 851 mb | 1524 m | 13.9 | 5.8 | 015° 17 kt |
| 850 mb | 1538 m | 13.8 | 5.8 | 015° 16 kt |
| 840 mb | 1638 m | 13.0 | 5.0 | — |
| 821 mb | 1829 m | 11.6 | 5.9 | 000° 13 kt |
| 793 mb | 2119 m | 9.4 | 7.2 | — |
| 763 mb | 2438 m | 7.5 | 6.1 | 275° 6 kt |
| 753 mb | 2547 m | 6.8 | 5.7 | — |
| 735 mb | 2743 m | 6.6 | 2.3 | 290° 9 kt |
| 725 mb | 2859 m | 6.2 | -2.8 | — |
| 708 mb | 3048 m | 5.0 | -2.6 | 320° 11 kt |
| 700 mb | 3146 m | 4.6 | -5.4 | 305° 8 kt |
| 668 mb | 3526 m | 3.0 | -19.0 | — |
| 657 mb | 3658 m | 2.2 | -15.3 | 325° 5 kt |
| 645 mb | 3809 m | 1.4 | -18.6 | — |
| 609 mb | 4267 m | -2.1 | -21.4 | 305° 8 kt |
| 599 mb | 4401 m | -3.3 | -21.3 | — |
| 583 mb | 4614 m | -4.9 | -26.9 | — |
| 564 mb | 4877 m | -6.2 | -37.9 | 355° 6 kt |
| 545 mb | 5142 m | -7.5 | -45.5 | — |
| 521 mb | 5486 m | -8.5 | -50.5 | 340° 13 kt |
| 507 mb | 5703 m | -9.7 | -51.7 | — |
| 500 mb | 5810 m | -9.5 | -44.5 | 300° 15 kt |
| 488 mb | 5996 m | -10.7 | -39.7 | — |
| 473 mb | 6235 m | -12.5 | -24.5 | — |
| 463 mb | 6401 m | -13.6 | -16.2 | 270° 25 kt |
| 444 mb | 6706 m | -15.8 | -17.4 | 250° 21 kt |
| 421 mb | 7111 m | -18.7 | -18.9 | — |
| 410 mb | 7315 m | -19.9 | -20.1 | 255° 27 kt |
| 400 mb | 7490 m | -21.1 | -21.9 | 245° 30 kt |
| 388 mb | 7715 m | -22.7 | -23.2 | — |
| 370 mb | 8063 m | -24.3 | -27.1 | — |
| 345 mb | 8571 m | -28.3 | -29.4 | — |
| 333 mb | 8825 m | -30.1 | -32.5 | — |
| 318 mb | 9144 m | -33.1 | -36.6 | 230° 32 kt |
| 305 mb | 9444 m | -35.7 | -39.5 | — |
| 300 mb | 9560 m | -34.5 | -62.5 | 245° 25 kt |
| 267 mb | 10363 m | -37.8 | -68.3 | 250° 17 kt |
| 250 mb | 10820 m | -40.7 | -69.7 | 265° 22 kt |
| 234 mb | 11278 m | -43.4 | -71.7 | 270° 24 kt |
| 213 mb | 11887 m | -46.9 | -72.7 | 245° 23 kt |
| 200 mb | 12310 m | -49.7 | -72.7 | 265° 24 kt |
| 187 mb | 12747 m | -51.7 | -76.7 | — |
| 177 mb | 13106 m | -53.3 | -77.0 | 280° 28 kt |
| 160 mb | 13745 m | -57.9 | -79.9 | — |
| 150 mb | 14150 m | -59.9 | -80.9 | 275° 26 kt |
| 139 mb | 14630 m | -62.8 | -83.9 | 285° 29 kt |
| 125 mb | 15240 m | -67.2 | -85.9 | 280° 31 kt |
| 108 mb | 16154 m | -70.8 | -85.3 | 255° 41 kt |
| 100 mb | 16590 m | -71.1 | -86.1 | 295° 31 kt |
Every station with a sounding (77)
- Aberdeen, SD (ABR)
- ADN
- Albany, NY (ALB)
- Albuquerque, NM (ABQ)
- Amarillo, TX (AMA)
- Birmingham, AL (BMX)
- Bismarck, ND (BIS)
- Blacksburg, VA (RNK)
- Boise, ID (BOI)
- Brownsville, TX (BRO)
- Buffalo, NY (BUF)
- Cape Canaveral, FL (XMR)
- Caribou, ME (CAR)
- Chanhassen, MN (MPX)
- Charleston, SC (CHS)
- Chihuahua, Mexico (76225)
- Corpus Christi, TX (CRP)
- Davenport, IA (DVN)
- Del Rio, TX (DRT)
- Dodge City, KS (DDC)
- Elko, NV (LKN)
- Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ)
- Fort Worth, TX (FWD)
- Gaylord, MI (APX)
- Glasgow, MT (GGW)
- Grand Junction, CO (GJT)
- Gray, ME (GYX)
- GRB
- Great Falls, MT (TFX)
- Greensboro, NC (GSO)
- International Falls, MN (INL)
- Jackson, MS (JAN)
- Jacksonville, FL (JAX)
- Key West, FL (KEY)
- La Paz, Mexico (76405)
- Lake Charles, LA (LCH)
- Lamont, OK (LMN)
- Las Vegas, NV (VEF)
- Lincoln, IL (ILX)
- Little Rock, AR (LZK)
- Maniwaki, Quebec (WMW)
- Mazatlán, Mexico (76458)
- Medford, OR (MFR)
- Miami, FL (MFL)
- Midland, TX (MAF)
- Nashville, TN (BNA)
- Newport, NC (MHX)
- Norman, OK (OUN)
- North Platte, NE (LBF)
- Oakland, CA (OAK)
- OYU
- Peachtree City, GA (FFC)
- Pickle Lake, Ontario (WPL)
- Pittsburgh, PA (PIT)
- Quillayute, WA (UIL)
- Rapid City, SD (UNR)
- Reno, NV (REV)
- Riverton, WY (RIW)
- Salem, OR (SLE)
- Salt Lake City, UT (SLC)
- San Diego, CA (NKX)
- Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ)
- Shreveport, LA (SHV)
- Slidell, LA (LIX)
- Spokane, WA (OTX)
- Springfield, MO (SGF)
- Sterling, VA (IAD)
- Tampa Bay, FL (TBW)
- Topeka, KS (TOP)
- Upton, NY (OKX)
- Valley, NE (OAX)
- Vandenberg, CA (VBG)
- White Lake, MI (DTX)
- Wilmington, OH (ILN)
- Yarmouth, Nova Scotia (YQI)
- YCX
- Zacatecas, Mexico (76526)
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Impacts
No supported U.S. monitoring areaCurrent warnings in the monitoring area
None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 43. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.
No U.S. area
No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
Official forecast table
Forecast points
NHC Advisory 43 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+0 h from forecast cycle | 23.0°N, 145.7°W | tropical storm | 40 kt · 46 mph |
+3 h from forecast cycle | 23.1°N, 146.2°W | low | 40 kt · 46 mph |
+12 h from forecast cycle | 23.2°N, 147.6°W | low | 35 kt · 40 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 23.7°N, 150.0°W | post tropical cyclone | 30 kt · 35 mph |
Advisory history and records
Advisory history
Return to latest advisoryThe issuance history could not be read. This is not an absence of previous advisories. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
No verifiable retained snapshots are listed.
Monitoring geography and current changes
- Area
- None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 43
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state - Hazards
- —
- Window
- In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
- Made by
- NHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
All published products and source descriptions
Wind speed probabilities
NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.
NHC’s coastal watches and warnings
The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 43 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 43 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
Sources
NHC advisory, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
No supported NWS monitoring area. Check local warning authorities.
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.