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Post-Tropical Cyclone Karina

40 kt · 46 mph · 998 hPa · WNW at 5 kt

Storm Mode · NHC Advisory 43 · 7 Sep 03:00Z

Final advisory · monitoring can continue

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NHC forecast for Post-Tropical Cyclone Karina, Advisory 43; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Advisory 43

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The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

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Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

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Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Albuquerque, NM (ABQ), 18Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Albuquerque, NM (ABQ), for 18:00Z (2 h 2 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (45)

Albuquerque, NM (ABQ): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
840 mb	1619 m	14.4	10.6	140° 9 kt
821 mb	1812 m	14.6	7.6	—
805 mb	1978 m	13.8	5.8	—
790 mb	2134 m	12.6	5.2	165° 15 kt
761 mb	2438 m	10.4	4.1	180° 18 kt
734 mb	2743 m	8.1	3.0	195° 20 kt
707 mb	3048 m	5.8	1.8	200° 26 kt
700 mb	3135 m	5.2	1.5	195° 31 kt
690 mb	3252 m	4.6	1.1	—
656 mb	3658 m	1.7	-0.9	200° 36 kt
623 mb	4077 m	-1.1	-2.5	—
610 mb	4245 m	-1.9	-4.0	—
585 mb	4572 m	-4.7	-6.0	180° 48 kt
563 mb	4877 m	-7.0	-8.7	180° 47 kt
547 mb	5100 m	-8.7	-10.7	—
530 mb	5344 m	-10.5	-11.9	—
500 mb	5790 m	-13.7	-16.1	190° 49 kt
480 mb	6096 m	-14.7	-27.0	190° 48 kt
461 mb	6401 m	-16.0	-27.2	185° 50 kt
425 mb	7010 m	-20.0	-25.2	180° 47 kt
406 mb	7351 m	-22.3	-24.5	—
400 mb	7460 m	-23.1	-25.5	190° 53 kt
385 mb	7739 m	-25.1	-32.1	—
368 mb	8065 m	-28.1	-32.4	—
344 mb	8534 m	-31.3	-45.5	190° 55 kt
330 mb	8839 m	-33.4	-51.0	195° 55 kt
316 mb	9144 m	-35.5	-52.4	200° 62 kt
302 mb	9449 m	-37.5	-53.7	200° 64 kt
300 mb	9500 m	-37.9	-53.9	200° 68 kt
289 mb	9754 m	-39.8	-54.9	200° 67 kt
276 mb	10058 m	-42.0	-56.1	195° 65 kt
264 mb	10363 m	-44.2	-57.3	195° 65 kt
252 mb	10668 m	-46.4	-58.6	195° 61 kt
250 mb	10730 m	-46.9	-58.9	190° 63 kt
224 mb	11449 m	-51.5	-60.5	—
211 mb	11835 m	-53.1	-62.1	205° 64 kt
200 mb	12180 m	-51.3	-62.3	210° 64 kt
188 mb	12583 m	-50.5	-62.5	—
173 mb	13106 m	-53.1	-66.2	210° 54 kt
158 mb	13716 m	-56.1	-70.5	205° 46 kt
150 mb	14030 m	-57.7	-72.7	205° 46 kt
138 mb	14553 m	-59.9	-75.9	—
124 mb	15240 m	-62.6	-80.3	200° 61 kt
106 mb	16154 m	-65.9	-85.8	225° 22 kt
100 mb	16530 m	-67.7	-87.7	235° 19 kt

Every station with a sounding (77)

SPC observed soundings checked 20:00Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Storm details

NHC Advisory 43 · 7 Sep 03:00Z

Center position: 23.1°N, 146.2°W
Minimum pressure: 998 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 40 kt · 46 mph
Movement: WNW at 5 kt
Since comparison advisory: Comparison unavailable

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Forecast cycle 7 Sep 00:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time. The warning center issued its final advisory; continuing flood/rain monitoring does not imply a new cyclone forecast.

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Data coverage

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No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

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Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsCoastal alert data unavailable; not an all-clear Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Current warnings in the monitoring area

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 43. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

No U.S. area

No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.

Official forecast table

Forecast points

NHC Advisory 43 · advisory 7 Sep 03:00Z · forecast cycle 7 Sep 00:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
7 Sep 00:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	23.0°N, 145.7°W	tropical storm	40 kt · 46 mph
7 Sep 03:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	23.1°N, 146.2°W	low	40 kt · 46 mph
7 Sep 12:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	23.2°N, 147.6°W	low	35 kt · 40 mph
8 Sep 00:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	23.7°N, 150.0°W	post tropical cyclone	30 kt · 35 mph

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

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No verifiable retained snapshots are listed.

Monitoring geography and current changes

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 43
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: NHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 43 (03:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 43 (03:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Satellite

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Post-Tropical Cyclone Karina, NHC Advisory 43

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 43 (03:00Z). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.

Radar

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Sources

NHC advisory, as published checked 20:00Z
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NWS coverage unavailablePost-Tropical Cyclone Karina · — alerts

No supported NWS monitoring area. Check local warning authorities.

Not checked

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.