Current advisory context · Tropical Storm 46 mph (40 kt) · 1002 hPa · W at 12 mph (10 kt)
CPHC Advisory 2 ·
Latest advisory
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.
Basemap
MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
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Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
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Choose a watched place for exact-point results, bands and qualified timing. Each product carries its own issuance and coverage.
| Place | 34 kt | 50 kt | 64 kt |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15n 170w | 15% | 4% | 1% |
| 10n 165w | 12% | 3% | — |
| 15n 175w | 9% | — | — |
| 10n 170w | 8% | — | — |
| 10n 160w | 6% | — | — |
| 10n 175w | 3% | — | — |
| 15n 165w | 3% | — | — |
| Johnston Isl | 3% | — | — |
NHC’s chance of sustained wind of at least each speed at each place it lists, through ; the places with the highest chance of 34 kt first. Issued . Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s table.
NHC has no coastal watch or warning in effect for this storm.
In NHC’s words, Advisory 2, issued . The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.
CPHC Advisory 2 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+0 h from forecast cycle | 11.2°N, 150.6°W | Tropical storm | 46 mph (40 kt) |
+3 h from forecast cycle | 11.2°N, 151.1°W | Tropical storm | 46 mph (40 kt) |
+12 h from forecast cycle | 11.4°N, 152.7°W | Tropical storm | 58 mph (50 kt) |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 11.3°N, 154.7°W | Tropical storm | 63 mph (55 kt) |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 11.3°N, 156.7°W | Tropical storm | 69 mph (60 kt) |
+48 h from forecast cycle | 11.3°N, 158.3°W | Tropical storm | 69 mph (60 kt) |
+60 h from forecast cycle | 11.3°N, 160.0°W | Tropical storm | 69 mph (60 kt) |
+72 h from forecast cycle | 11.4°N, 161.8°W | Tropical storm | 69 mph (60 kt) |
+96 h from forecast cycle | 11.7°N, 165.9°W | Hurricane | 75 mph (65 kt) |
+120 h from forecast cycle | 12.8°N, 171.9°W | Hurricane | 75 mph (65 kt) |
Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
| Official issuance | Revision kind | Record |
|---|---|---|
| CPHC Advisory 2 · | advisory | Snapshot 6eb780c9 · Selected |
| CPHC Unnumbered state · | advisory | Snapshot c16d8efc |
| CPHC Advisory 1 · | first | Snapshot 5be09be7 |
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 2 (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 2 (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-West at 14° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 2 (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Drawn live: if the radar fails, nothing older is shown in its place.
Saved places are read from this device after scripting starts.
Search stays in this browser. A town point is not an address; no address-level surge is calculated.
