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Tropical Storm Pena

Tropical Storm 46 mph (40 kt) · 1002 hPa · W at 12 mph (10 kt)

CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z

Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached

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CPHC forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, Advisory 1; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Advisory 1

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The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

Basemap

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Change time or forecast product

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Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Rapid City, SD (UNR), 00Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Rapid City, SD (UNR), for 00:00Z (6 h 27 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (60)

Rapid City, SD (UNR): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
902 mb	1029 m	13.4	-0.6	010° 5 kt
892 mb	1123 m	12.5	-0.9	030° 7 kt
861 mb	1419 m	9.6	-2.0	015° 5 kt
850 mb	1527 m	8.6	-2.4	020° 6 kt
840 mb	1625 m	8.2	-2.8	—
803 mb	1994 m	6.4	-3.5	330° 3 kt
793 mb	2097 m	5.6	-3.4	305° 3 kt
759 mb	2455 m	3.0	-3.0	—
749 mb	2561 m	2.3	-3.3	260° 10 kt
727 mb	2801 m	0.8	-3.9	245° 8 kt
706 mb	3037 m	-0.7	-4.5	—
700 mb	3105 m	-1.1	-5.0	275° 16 kt
682 mb	3313 m	-1.7	-9.4	285° 16 kt
661 mb	3561 m	-3.0	-13.9	285° 13 kt
648 mb	3718 m	-3.7	-13.7	—
635 mb	3878 m	-4.9	-14.9	—
609 mb	4205 m	-7.3	-16.5	270° 13 kt
593 mb	4412 m	-8.7	-18.1	285° 19 kt
580 mb	4584 m	-9.7	-19.7	—
568 mb	4743 m	-11.1	-20.2	280° 18 kt
544 mb	5071 m	-13.8	-21.2	280° 16 kt
529 mb	5284 m	-15.7	-21.8	285° 13 kt
500 mb	5710 m	-17.7	-24.7	315° 18 kt
483 mb	5967 m	-19.7	-26.7	—
471 mb	6152 m	-21.2	-28.8	310° 16 kt
449 mb	6501 m	-24.4	-31.4	300° 18 kt
438 mb	6680 m	-25.5	-35.5	—
418 mb	7016 m	-27.6	-44.7	310° 16 kt
405 mb	7242 m	-29.1	-48.1	310° 24 kt
400 mb	7330 m	-29.7	-48.7	315° 26 kt
358 mb	8116 m	-34.3	-54.3	—
340 mb	8473 m	-37.2	-55.2	010° 49 kt
321 mb	8866 m	-40.6	-56.8	010° 53 kt
300 mb	9330 m	-44.7	-58.7	005° 49 kt
286 mb	9648 m	-46.5	-59.8	355° 53 kt
268 mb	10075 m	-49.4	-61.5	350° 40 kt
256 mb	10375 m	-51.4	-62.8	350° 40 kt
250 mb	10530 m	-52.5	-63.5	350° 38 kt
225 mb	11204 m	-53.7	-64.7	—
215 mb	11494 m	-55.3	-66.3	—
201 mb	11919 m	-57.9	-68.9	335° 23 kt
200 mb	11950 m	-57.9	-68.9	335° 23 kt
188 mb	12340 m	-57.5	-70.1	320° 33 kt
177 mb	12721 m	-57.1	-70.9	320° 35 kt
167 mb	13087 m	-57.9	-73.1	305° 27 kt
157 mb	13475 m	-59.9	-75.9	—
150 mb	13760 m	-58.7	-76.7	315° 30 kt
129 mb	14706 m	-60.5	-80.5	315° 22 kt
118 mb	15261 m	-60.6	-82.6	285° 30 kt
107 mb	15870 m	-61.4	-84.3	300° 10 kt
100 mb	16290 m	-62.1	-86.1	275° 24 kt
90 mb	16939 m	-63.2	-89.5	305° 15 kt
80 mb	17661 m	-63.8	-91.8	285° 26 kt
70 mb	18480 m	-63.7	-91.7	315° 15 kt
60 mb	19424 m	-62.9	-90.6	310° 13 kt
40 mb	21911 m	-64.5	-91.6	300° 16 kt
30 mb	23670 m	-65.5	-92.5	305° 20 kt
20 mb	26130 m	-65.7	-92.7	325° 38 kt
10 mb	30390 m	-59.3	-88.3	270° 52 kt
7 mb	32993 m	-56.7	-77.7	—

Every station with a sounding (77)

SPC observed soundings checked 06:15Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsNot retained with this historical record Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Official forecast table

Forecast points

CPHC Advisory 1 · advisory 6 Nov 21:00Z · forecast cycle 6 Nov 18:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
6 Nov 18:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 149.6°W	Tropical storm	46 mph (40 kt)
6 Nov 21:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 150.1°W	Tropical storm	46 mph (40 kt)
06:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	11.5°N, 151.8°W	Tropical storm	52 mph (45 kt)
18:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	11.4°N, 153.9°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
8 Nov 06:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 155.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
8 Nov 18:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 157.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
9 Nov 06:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 159.7°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
9 Nov 18:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	11.0°N, 161.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
10 Nov 18:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 165.9°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
11 Nov 18:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	11.9°N, 171.4°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
CPHC Advisory 2 · 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6eb780c9
CPHC Unnumbered state · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c16d8efc
CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z	first	Snapshot 5be09be7 · Selected

Monitoring geography

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: CPHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Advisory 1

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Details

CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z

Center position: 11.3°N, 150.1°W
Minimum pressure: 1002 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 46 mph (40 kt)
Movement: W at 12 mph (10 kt)
Since the advisory compared: Comparison unavailable

Read official advisory (CPHC) ↗

Forecast cycle 6 Nov 18:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Map layers

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Public event region Aggregation interval Show density on map

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Coverage and interpretation

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

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Advisory comparison

Comparison unavailable: no different, earlier retained advisory was selected or published.

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.

Data coverage

NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Sources

CPHC advisory, as published checked 06:26Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Outside NWS coverageTropical Storm Pena

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06:27Z