STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace

Tropical Storm Pena

Tropical Storm 46 mph (40 kt) · 1002 hPa · W at 12 mph (10 kt)

CPHC Advisory 1 ·

Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached

CPHC forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, Advisory 1; rendered by MaverickWX
Published advisory track · Advisory 1

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.

ⓘ About this map

The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

Basemap

MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.

Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Salt Lake City, UT (SLC), 00Z. Its levels are in the table below.
Observed Sounding at Salt Lake City, UT (SLC), for (6 h 27 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (61)
Salt Lake City, UT (SLC): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
PressureHeightTemperatureDew pointWind
879 mb1289 m12.25.2320° 6 kt
863 mb1442 m10.04.6330° 9 kt
850 mb1569 m8.24.1340° 10 kt
826 mb1804 m6.03.2340° 8 kt
805 mb2015 m4.02.4—
768 mb2396 m2.2-2.2350° 7 kt
758 mb2502 m1.7-3.2015° 8 kt
748 mb2609 m1.2-3.1005° 6 kt
727 mb2838 m1.1-6.8055° 1 kt
713 mb2995 m0.6-11.4—
700 mb3142 m-0.7-11.7355° 4 kt
689 mb3268 m-1.6-13.3000° 3 kt
674 mb3443 m-1.1-22.1—
649 mb3744 m-0.9-27.2020° 14 kt
631 mb3967 m-2.4-22.6020° 10 kt
616 mb4158 m-3.7-18.7—
604 mb4312 m-4.8-20.8025° 17 kt
588 mb4522 m-6.2-23.8030° 19 kt
574 mb4710 m-7.5-24.5030° 20 kt
558 mb4929 m-8.9-25.7035° 19 kt
533 mb5282 m-11.1-25.1—
522 mb5442 m-11.7-25.7—
500 mb5770 m-13.1-29.1010° 37 kt
486 mb5987 m-13.7-34.4020° 30 kt
465 mb6318 m-16.3-34.8040° 37 kt
451 mb6546 m-18.2-34.4025° 37 kt
431 mb6885 m-21.1-34.0025° 36 kt
417 mb7131 m-23.3-33.6015° 40 kt
404 mb7367 m-25.3-33.3020° 44 kt
400 mb7440 m-25.5-34.5020° 43 kt
369 mb8018 m-30.7-39.7—
357 mb8252 m-32.7-40.7—
345 mb8491 m-34.7-42.7030° 39 kt
333 mb8737 m-36.6-46.1030° 41 kt
317 mb9076 m-39.5-48.5025° 42 kt
300 mb9450 m-42.7-53.7020° 44 kt
290 mb9677 m-44.3-55.9010° 46 kt
278 mb9957 m-46.8-56.9010° 39 kt
250 mb10650 m-52.7-59.7355° 46 kt
236 mb11020 m-54.7-61.7—
226 mb11296 m-55.9-62.9—
215 mb11613 m-57.1-64.6355° 79 kt
202 mb12007 m-57.6-66.4355° 93 kt
200 mb12070 m-57.7-66.7355° 91 kt
188 mb12460 m-57.2-67.9000° 89 kt
168 mb13169 m-57.6-70.4015° 42 kt
156 mb13634 m-60.2-73.7015° 36 kt
150 mb13880 m-61.5-75.5000° 38 kt
136 mb14482 m-65.2-80.2355° 51 kt
126 mb14949 m-63.1-80.1345° 39 kt
115 mb15508 m-64.0-82.2345° 26 kt
100 mb16360 m-66.5-86.5000° 27 kt
89 mb17074 m-66.5-88.5—
79 mb17800 m-64.9-89.9—
68 mb18707 m-64.3-90.3330° 16 kt
57 mb19781 m-64.6-89.6305° 12 kt
37 mb22425 m-64.3-89.3285° 18 kt
27 mb24358 m-63.0-88.0305° 15 kt
17 mb27197 m-62.6-88.6285° 21 kt
7 mb32790 m-55.9-84.9255° 84 kt
7 mb33069 m-55.5-74.5—

SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area
Official forecast table

Forecast points

CPHC Advisory 1 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / leadPositionClassificationSustained wind

+0 h from forecast cycle
11.2°N, 149.6°WTropical storm46 mph (40 kt)

+3 h from forecast cycle
11.3°N, 150.1°WTropical storm46 mph (40 kt)

+12 h from forecast cycle
11.5°N, 151.8°WTropical storm52 mph (45 kt)

+24 h from forecast cycle
11.4°N, 153.9°WTropical storm58 mph (50 kt)

+36 h from forecast cycle
11.3°N, 155.8°WTropical storm58 mph (50 kt)

+48 h from forecast cycle
11.3°N, 157.8°WTropical storm58 mph (50 kt)

+60 h from forecast cycle
11.2°N, 159.7°WTropical storm58 mph (50 kt)

+72 h from forecast cycle
11.0°N, 161.8°WTropical storm58 mph (50 kt)

+96 h from forecast cycle
11.3°N, 165.9°WTropical storm58 mph (50 kt)

+120 h from forecast cycle
11.9°N, 171.4°WTropical storm58 mph (50 kt)
Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuanceRevision kindRecord
CPHC Advisory 2 · advisorySnapshot 6eb780c9
CPHC Unnumbered state · advisorySnapshot c16d8efc
CPHC Advisory 1 · firstSnapshot 5be09be7 · Selected
Monitoring geography
Area
None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards
—
Window
In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by
CPHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Advisory 1

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Advisory 1

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Advisory 1

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Outside NWS coverageTropical Storm Pena
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