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Tropical Storm Pena

Tropical Storm 46 mph (40 kt) · 1002 hPa · W at 12 mph (10 kt)

CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z

Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached

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CPHC forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, Advisory 1; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Advisory 1

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Basemap

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Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ), 00Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ), for 00:00Z (6 h 27 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (52)

Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
876 mb	1252 m	18.4	1.4	095° 10 kt
850 mb	1514 m	15.4	1.4	085° 15 kt
818 mb	1829 m	13.2	1.2	090° 13 kt
789 mb	2134 m	11.0	1.1	105° 17 kt
760 mb	2438 m	8.8	0.9	145° 14 kt
733 mb	2743 m	6.7	0.8	175° 13 kt
706 mb	3048 m	4.5	0.6	195° 13 kt
700 mb	3123 m	4.0	0.6	200° 13 kt
685 mb	3299 m	2.8	0.3	—
661 mb	3586 m	0.6	-1.2	—
650 mb	3721 m	-0.7	-2.3	—
634 mb	3920 m	-1.7	-4.9	—
607 mb	4267 m	-4.2	-6.1	190° 13 kt
589 mb	4501 m	-6.1	-7.8	—
577 mb	4662 m	-7.1	-9.2	—
566 mb	4812 m	-5.7	-14.7	—
540 mb	5182 m	-8.4	-17.2	215° 24 kt
524 mb	5411 m	-10.3	-17.3	—
513 mb	5574 m	-11.5	-18.5	—
502 mb	5740 m	-12.9	-19.9	—
500 mb	5770 m	-13.1	-20.1	220° 26 kt
481 mb	6065 m	-15.1	-23.1	—
460 mb	6401 m	-18.1	-24.3	235° 32 kt
441 mb	6706 m	-20.7	-25.3	225° 32 kt
427 mb	6953 m	-22.9	-26.2	—
408 mb	7286 m	-25.3	-31.3	—
400 mb	7430 m	-25.7	-36.7	235° 34 kt
390 mb	7620 m	-27.4	-37.0	235° 34 kt
373 mb	7925 m	-29.9	-36.7	235° 33 kt
363 mb	8126 m	-31.5	-36.5	—
351 mb	8363 m	-33.1	-39.1	—
333 mb	8731 m	-35.9	-40.5	—
314 mb	9144 m	-38.6	-41.5	250° 54 kt
300 mb	9449 m	-40.3	-42.9	240° 62 kt
300 mb	9450 m	-40.3	-42.9	240° 63 kt
288 mb	9725 m	-42.5	-45.5	—
276 mb	10009 m	-44.9	-47.9	—
262 mb	10363 m	-47.2	-49.9	245° 82 kt
250 mb	10660 m	-48.9	-50.9	240° 91 kt
238 mb	10973 m	-50.9	-53.7	240° 96 kt
217 mb	11582 m	-53.7	-59.7	250° 85 kt
207 mb	11887 m	-55.0	-62.8	250° 85 kt
200 mb	12100 m	-55.1	-63.1	250° 83 kt
188 mb	12497 m	-56.0	-65.9	250° 85 kt
174 mb	12987 m	-56.3	-66.3	—
163 mb	13400 m	-58.3	-69.3	—
151 mb	13879 m	-60.3	-71.3	—
150 mb	13920 m	-60.3	-71.3	255° 50 kt
134 mb	14630 m	-61.8	-72.8	250° 49 kt
121 mb	15240 m	-64.2	-75.2	270° 48 kt
110 mb	15850 m	-65.6	-76.0	270° 33 kt
100 mb	16410 m	-65.9	-75.9	260° 34 kt

Every station with a sounding (77)

SPC observed soundings checked 06:15Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsNot retained with this historical record Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Official forecast table

Forecast points

CPHC Advisory 1 · advisory 6 Nov 21:00Z · forecast cycle 6 Nov 18:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
6 Nov 18:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 149.6°W	Tropical storm	46 mph (40 kt)
6 Nov 21:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 150.1°W	Tropical storm	46 mph (40 kt)
06:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	11.5°N, 151.8°W	Tropical storm	52 mph (45 kt)
18:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	11.4°N, 153.9°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
8 Nov 06:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 155.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
8 Nov 18:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 157.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
9 Nov 06:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 159.7°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
9 Nov 18:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	11.0°N, 161.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
10 Nov 18:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 165.9°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
11 Nov 18:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	11.9°N, 171.4°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

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Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
CPHC Advisory 2 · 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6eb780c9
CPHC Unnumbered state · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c16d8efc
CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z	first	Snapshot 5be09be7 · Selected

Monitoring geography

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: CPHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Advisory 1

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Details

CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z

Center position: 11.3°N, 150.1°W
Minimum pressure: 1002 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 46 mph (40 kt)
Movement: W at 12 mph (10 kt)
Since the advisory compared: Comparison unavailable

Read official advisory (CPHC) ↗

Forecast cycle 6 Nov 18:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Map layers

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

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Coverage and interpretation

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

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Advisory comparison

Comparison unavailable: no different, earlier retained advisory was selected or published.

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.

Data coverage

NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Sources

CPHC advisory, as published checked 06:26Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Outside NWS coverageTropical Storm Pena

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06:27Z