Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 1 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace
Subtropical Storm Josephine
Current advisory context · 55 kt · 63 mph · 990 hPa · N at 5 kt
Storm Mode · NHC Advisory 1 ·
Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached
Published advisory track · Advisory 1
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.
MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Replay coverage and interpretation
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
Analysis
Area, source times and interpretation
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
Soundings: what weather balloons measured
A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
The levels this sounding was drawn from (56)
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 996 mb | 229 m | 19.4 | 8.4 | calm |
| 972 mb | 439 m | 19.8 | 7.8 | — |
| 953 mb | 610 m | 18.2 | 7.0 | 245° 6 kt |
| 925 mb | 862 m | 15.8 | 5.8 | 245° 10 kt |
| 887 mb | 1219 m | 12.9 | 4.9 | 270° 6 kt |
| 850 mb | 1573 m | 10.0 | 4.0 | 300° 14 kt |
| 836 mb | 1711 m | 9.6 | 3.6 | — |
| 824 mb | 1829 m | 9.4 | 2.4 | 320° 13 kt |
| 805 mb | 2025 m | 9.4 | 5.2 | — |
| 794 mb | 2134 m | 8.5 | 4.7 | 330° 14 kt |
| 766 mb | 2438 m | 5.9 | 3.2 | 330° 14 kt |
| 745 mb | 2662 m | 4.0 | 2.1 | — |
| 731 mb | 2816 m | 3.6 | -0.1 | — |
| 717 mb | 2974 m | 4.4 | -3.6 | — |
| 700 mb | 3169 m | 3.6 | -7.4 | 310° 13 kt |
| 684 mb | 3353 m | 2.9 | -10.7 | 310° 14 kt |
| 664 mb | 3596 m | 1.2 | -7.8 | — |
| 634 mb | 3962 m | -0.5 | -18.4 | 310° 18 kt |
| 621 mb | 4133 m | -1.3 | -23.3 | — |
| 611 mb | 4267 m | -2.2 | -21.6 | 325° 15 kt |
| 588 mb | 4572 m | -4.3 | -16.4 | 345° 15 kt |
| 575 mb | 4741 m | -5.5 | -16.5 | — |
| 564 mb | 4893 m | -6.7 | -15.7 | — |
| 552 mb | 5060 m | -7.9 | -16.9 | — |
| 522 mb | 5486 m | -11.9 | -19.5 | 330° 21 kt |
| 509 mb | 5684 m | -13.7 | -20.7 | — |
| 500 mb | 5820 m | -14.3 | -23.3 | 320° 21 kt |
| 482 mb | 6097 m | -15.9 | -23.9 | 325° 24 kt |
| 463 mb | 6401 m | -17.4 | -28.9 | 325° 29 kt |
| 444 mb | 6706 m | -19.0 | -33.9 | 320° 27 kt |
| 426 mb | 7010 m | -20.5 | -38.8 | 320° 29 kt |
| 413 mb | 7246 m | -21.7 | -42.7 | — |
| 400 mb | 7480 m | -23.5 | -42.5 | 320° 43 kt |
| 376 mb | 7925 m | -27.6 | -42.8 | 325° 50 kt |
| 363 mb | 8181 m | -29.9 | -42.9 | — |
| 351 mb | 8419 m | -31.7 | -45.7 | — |
| 317 mb | 9131 m | -37.7 | -48.7 | — |
| 303 mb | 9449 m | -38.2 | -49.5 | 320° 49 kt |
| 300 mb | 9510 m | -37.7 | -49.7 | 320° 47 kt |
| 289 mb | 9754 m | -38.0 | -52.3 | 325° 53 kt |
| 277 mb | 10058 m | -39.5 | -54.6 | 320° 50 kt |
| 265 mb | 10363 m | -41.1 | -57.0 | 310° 50 kt |
| 253 mb | 10668 m | -42.5 | -58.5 | 305° 53 kt |
| 250 mb | 10750 m | -42.9 | -58.9 | 305° 52 kt |
| 231 mb | 11278 m | -45.2 | -61.2 | 300° 53 kt |
| 221 mb | 11582 m | -46.5 | -62.5 | 305° 54 kt |
| 201 mb | 12192 m | -49.1 | -65.1 | 295° 57 kt |
| 200 mb | 12240 m | -49.3 | -65.3 | 295° 56 kt |
| 183 mb | 12802 m | -52.0 | -67.5 | 300° 51 kt |
| 167 mb | 13411 m | -55.8 | -70.8 | 295° 55 kt |
| 150 mb | 14080 m | -57.9 | -71.9 | 305° 51 kt |
| 137 mb | 14630 m | -60.4 | -74.1 | 295° 44 kt |
| 124 mb | 15240 m | -63.3 | -76.4 | 305° 46 kt |
| 113 mb | 15850 m | -66.5 | -78.8 | 300° 35 kt |
| 102 mb | 16459 m | -66.8 | -78.8 | 295° 32 kt |
| 100 mb | 16570 m | -67.3 | -79.3 | 290° 39 kt |
Every station with a sounding (77)
- 74626
- Aberdeen, SD (ABR)
- ADN
- Albany, NY (ALB)
- Albuquerque, NM (ABQ)
- Amarillo, TX (AMA)
- Birmingham, AL (BMX)
- Bismarck, ND (BIS)
- Blacksburg, VA (RNK)
- Boise, ID (BOI)
- Brownsville, TX (BRO)
- Buffalo, NY (BUF)
- Cape Canaveral, FL (XMR)
- Caribou, ME (CAR)
- Chanhassen, MN (MPX)
- Charleston, SC (CHS)
- Chihuahua, Mexico (76225)
- Corpus Christi, TX (CRP)
- Davenport, IA (DVN)
- Del Rio, TX (DRT)
- Dodge City, KS (DDC)
- Elko, NV (LKN)
- Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ)
- Fort Worth, TX (FWD)
- Gaylord, MI (APX)
- Glasgow, MT (GGW)
- Grand Junction, CO (GJT)
- Gray, ME (GYX)
- GRB
- Great Falls, MT (TFX)
- Greensboro, NC (GSO)
- International Falls, MN (INL)
- Jackson, MS (JAN)
- Jacksonville, FL (JAX)
- Key West, FL (KEY)
- La Paz, Mexico (76405)
- Lake Charles, LA (LCH)
- Lamont, OK (LMN)
- Las Vegas, NV (VEF)
- Lincoln, IL (ILX)
- Little Rock, AR (LZK)
- Maniwaki, Quebec (WMW)
- Mazatlán, Mexico (76458)
- Medford, OR (MFR)
- Miami, FL (MFL)
- Midland, TX (MAF)
- Nashville, TN (BNA)
- Newport, NC (MHX)
- Norman, OK (OUN)
- North Platte, NE (LBF)
- Oakland, CA (OAK)
- OYU
- Peachtree City, GA (FFC)
- Pickle Lake, Ontario (WPL)
- Pittsburgh, PA (PIT)
- Quillayute, WA (UIL)
- Rapid City, SD (UNR)
- Reno, NV (REV)
- Riverton, WY (RIW)
- Salem, OR (SLE)
- Salt Lake City, UT (SLC)
- San Diego, CA (NKX)
- Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ)
- Shreveport, LA (SHV)
- Slidell, LA (LIX)
- Spokane, WA (OTX)
- Springfield, MO (SGF)
- Sterling, VA (IAD)
- Tampa Bay, FL (TBW)
- Topeka, KS (TOP)
- Upton, NY (OKX)
- Valley, NE (OAX)
- Vandenberg, CA (VBG)
- White Lake, MI (DTX)
- Wilmington, OH (ILN)
- Yarmouth, Nova Scotia (YQI)
- Zacatecas, Mexico (76526)
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Impacts
No supported U.S. monitoring areaCurrent warnings in the monitoring area
None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.
No U.S. area
No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
Official forecast table
Forecast points
NHC Advisory 1 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+0 h from forecast cycle | 37.1°N, 69.6°W | subtropical storm | 55 kt · 63 mph |
+3 h from forecast cycle | 37.4°N, 69.5°W | subtropical storm | 55 kt · 63 mph |
+12 h from forecast cycle | 38.1°N, 69.0°W | subtropical storm | 60 kt · 69 mph |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 39.6°N, 66.2°W | extratropical | 65 kt · 75 mph |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 41.4°N, 61.6°W | extratropical | 70 kt · 81 mph |
+48 h from forecast cycle | 43.3°N, 56.9°W | extratropical | 60 kt · 69 mph |
+60 h from forecast cycle | 44.1°N, 53.5°W | extratropical | 50 kt · 58 mph |
+72 h from forecast cycle | 44.4°N, 50.4°W | post tropical cyclone | 45 kt · 52 mph |
+96 h from forecast cycle | 43.5°N, 37.5°W | post tropical cyclone | 40 kt · 46 mph |
Advisory history and records
Advisory history
Return to latest advisoryEach entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
| Official issuance | Revision kind | Record |
|---|---|---|
| NHC Unnumbered state · | advisory | Snapshot 77cf7e1f |
| NHC Advisory 1 · | first | Snapshot a2f96dd0 · Selected |
Monitoring geography and current changes
- Area
- None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state - Hazards
- —
- Window
- In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
- Made by
- NHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
All published products and source descriptions
Wind speed probabilities
NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.
NHC’s coastal watches and warnings
The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 1 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 1 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
Sources
NHC advisory, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
No supported NWS monitoring area. Check local warning authorities.
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.