Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 12 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Current advisory context · 20 kt · 23 mph · 1012 hPa · WNW at 4 kt
Storm Mode · NHC Advisory 12 ·
Final advisory · monitoring can continue

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
NHC does not publish an NHC cone.
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
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Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 988 mb | 329 m | 8.6 | 8.4 | 105° 1 kt |
| 977 mb | 422 m | 8.2 | 8.0 | — |
| 955 mb | 610 m | 10.2 | 7.2 | 100° 8 kt |
| 936 mb | 782 m | 10.2 | 4.2 | — |
| 926 mb | 872 m | 10.0 | 3.0 | — |
| 925 mb | 881 m | 10.0 | 2.0 | 020° 7 kt |
| 911 mb | 1008 m | 10.2 | 0.2 | — |
| 899 mb | 1118 m | 9.6 | 0.6 | — |
| 888 mb | 1219 m | 8.6 | 1.8 | 345° 13 kt |
| 876 mb | 1333 m | 7.8 | 0.8 | — |
| 865 mb | 1437 m | 9.4 | -17.6 | — |
| 850 mb | 1582 m | 9.4 | -26.6 | 345° 6 kt |
| 825 mb | 1829 m | 8.6 | -28.3 | 005° 7 kt |
| 795 mb | 2134 m | 6.7 | -32.8 | 030° 8 kt |
| 766 mb | 2438 m | 4.7 | -37.2 | 030° 11 kt |
| 742 mb | 2695 m | 3.0 | -41.0 | — |
| 730 mb | 2827 m | 3.0 | -37.0 | — |
| 717 mb | 2972 m | 2.2 | -16.8 | — |
| 700 mb | 3165 m | 1.0 | -13.0 | 000° 10 kt |
| 684 mb | 3353 m | -0.0 | -14.6 | 355° 13 kt |
| 673 mb | 3480 m | -0.5 | -14.5 | — |
| 658 mb | 3658 m | -1.2 | -19.1 | 005° 8 kt |
| 647 mb | 3794 m | -1.7 | -22.7 | — |
| 613 mb | 4222 m | -3.7 | -24.7 | — |
| 602 mb | 4365 m | -4.7 | -21.7 | — |
| 579 mb | 4670 m | -6.7 | -26.7 | — |
| 564 mb | 4877 m | -7.6 | -31.2 | 325° 12 kt |
| 521 mb | 5486 m | -12.0 | -30.6 | 000° 16 kt |
| 500 mb | 5800 m | -14.5 | -33.5 | 350° 15 kt |
| 485 mb | 6030 m | -16.5 | -35.5 | — |
| 440 mb | 6754 m | -20.9 | -52.9 | — |
| 428 mb | 6957 m | -22.5 | -42.5 | — |
| 418 mb | 7131 m | -23.5 | -36.5 | — |
| 400 mb | 7450 m | -26.5 | -35.5 | 320° 26 kt |
| 389 mb | 7651 m | -26.9 | -46.9 | — |
| 365 mb | 8109 m | -29.9 | -49.9 | — |
| 329 mb | 8839 m | -37.0 | -51.2 | 330° 31 kt |
| 315 mb | 9144 m | -39.9 | -51.7 | 325° 29 kt |
| 302 mb | 9425 m | -41.9 | -55.9 | — |
| 300 mb | 9470 m | -42.1 | -56.1 | 330° 38 kt |
| 289 mb | 9721 m | -43.9 | -55.9 | — |
| 277 mb | 10003 m | -44.9 | -61.9 | — |
| 265 mb | 10297 m | -46.7 | -64.7 | — |
| 250 mb | 10680 m | -48.9 | -64.9 | 335° 53 kt |
| 239 mb | 10973 m | -50.3 | -66.4 | 340° 54 kt |
| 222 mb | 11455 m | -52.1 | -69.1 | — |
| 208 mb | 11877 m | -53.1 | -72.1 | — |
| 200 mb | 12130 m | -52.5 | -74.5 | 330° 61 kt |
| 185 mb | 12635 m | -53.7 | -76.8 | 330° 78 kt |
| 173 mb | 13065 m | -54.5 | -79.5 | — |
| 150 mb | 13970 m | -59.1 | -81.1 | 340° 52 kt |
| 135 mb | 14630 m | -61.5 | -82.6 | 320° 37 kt |
| 124 mb | 15154 m | -59.3 | -83.3 | — |
| 111 mb | 15850 m | -63.0 | -84.7 | 310° 20 kt |
| 100 mb | 16459 m | -63.7 | -84.7 | 305° 36 kt |
| 100 mb | 16480 m | -63.7 | -84.7 | 310° 23 kt |
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Forecast cycle . Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time. The warning center issued its final advisory; continuing flood/rain monitoring does not imply a new cyclone forecast.
Saved places are read from this device after scripting starts.
Search stays in this browser. A town point is not an address; no address-level surge is calculated.
Comparison unavailable: no different, earlier retained advisory was selected or published.
NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.
Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.
No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.
Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.
Cached lightning observations have not loaded. An empty map is not zero lightning.
Interactive layer controls load on this device. Published products remain available below.
None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 12. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.
No U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone. The storm’s own panels are shown, and no NWS alert is listed.
NHC Advisory 12 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+0 h from forecast cycle | 32.4°N, 96.3°W | disturbance | 20 kt · 23 mph |
+3 h from forecast cycle | 32.5°N, 96.5°W | disturbance | 20 kt · 23 mph |
+12 h from forecast cycle | 32.9°N, 97.0°W | disturbance | 15 kt · 17 mph |
The issuance history could not be read. This is not an absence of previous advisories. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
No verifiable retained snapshots are listed.
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 12 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.
The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 12 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 12 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
NHC advisory, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.