Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 1 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Official track and observed context
Retained NOAA pictures keep their observation and capture times. Gaps never use current pixels.
Map
This map draws the contiguous United States, and Northern Mariana Islands is beyond it. What is in force there is listed under “In force in this area”.
No observed picture confirmed. Warnings and advisory geometry have separate clocks. Current warning context · checked 2026-11-06T10:18:02.396Z
Alerts in this area
No warning, watch or advisory for these hazards is in force in this area.
NWS’s alerts checked : a successful check, so this is none in force, not “can’t tell”.
Last hour
record fromNothing has changed since this display’s record began, 10:05Z.
Spotlight: Forecast track
1 of 12Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 1 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. Himawari at 8° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 1 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
SPC Day 1 outlook
- General Thunderstorms Risk
- Marginal Risk
SPC’s Day 1 categorical outlook, valid to , issued . SPC’s categories, as drawn. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Watches
No tornado or severe thunderstorm watch in force in this area.
SPC’s watches, by number, matched by the counties they list. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Mesoscale discussions
No mesoscale discussion reaches this area.
SPC’s mesoscale discussions whose outline reaches the area. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Storm ingredients
SPC’s hourly mesoanalysis, observed soundings and model guidance for the area, on the Analysis tab with its own clocks.
Drawn by the Analysis tab’s own renderer. Data: NOAA/SPC, NOAA/NCEP.
Flash-flood risk, Day 1
- Marginal
- Marginal
- Slight
WPC’s excessive rainfall outlook, to , issued : a chance of flash flooding, in four categories. Data: NOAA/WPC.
River gauges in flood
No river, coastal or lake gauge in this area is in flood, observed or forecast.
NWS’s gauges at flood stage or above in the area, worst first, each with its forecast hydrograph on Rain & rivers. Data: NOAA/NWPS.
Rain expected and rain that fell
WPC’s rain forecast and MRMS’s radar estimate of the rain that fell, on the Briefing’s map for the area.
Data: NOAA/WPC, NOAA/NSSL MRMS.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Drawn live: if the radar fails, nothing older is shown in its place.