Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 58 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Map
NWS’s polygons as issued, or the zones a zone-issued alert names; SPC’s watches by their counties. Checked . Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC.
In force in this area
No warning, watch or advisory for these hazards is in force in this area.
NWS’s alerts checked : a successful check, so this is none in force, not “can’t tell”.
Spotlight: Forecast track
1 of 14Wind speed probabilities
NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.
NHC’s coastal watches and warnings
NHC has no coastal watch or warning in effect for this storm.
In NHC’s words, Advisory 58, issued . The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 58 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-West at 23° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from NHC’s Advisory 58 (). Not an official NHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s own.
SPC Day 1 outlook
- General Thunderstorms Risk highest in this area
SPC’s Day 1 categorical outlook, valid to , issued . SPC’s categories, as drawn. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Watches
No tornado or severe thunderstorm watch in force in this area.
SPC’s watches, by number, matched by the counties they list. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Mesoscale discussions
No mesoscale discussion reaches this area.
SPC’s mesoscale discussions whose outline reaches the area. Data: NOAA/SPC.
Storm ingredients
SPC’s hourly mesoanalysis, observed soundings and model guidance for the area, on the Analysis tab with its own clocks.
Drawn by the Analysis tab’s own renderer. Data: NOAA/SPC, NOAA/NCEP.
Flash-flood risk, Day 1
- Marginal
- Slight
WPC’s excessive rainfall outlook, to , issued : a chance of flash flooding, in four categories. Data: NOAA/WPC.
River gauges in flood
No river, coastal or lake gauge in this area is in flood, observed or forecast; 1 gauge at action stage.
NWS’s gauges at flood stage or above in the area, worst first, each with its forecast hydrograph on Rain & rivers. Data: NOAA/NWPS.
Rain expected and rain that fell
WPC’s rain forecast and MRMS’s radar estimate of the rain that fell, on the Briefing’s map for the area.
Data: NOAA/WPC, NOAA/NSSL MRMS.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Live tiles; the radar keeps no last-good copy.
What changed, last 60 minutes
since , when this server began watching this areaNothing has changed since 19:13Z.
The products’ own words and times, and what is no longer in force since the last read. Never written by AI.